{"title":"Radiographic dental age estimation of Brazilian children and adolescents using a national reference sample","authors":"E. Rodrigues , D. Moreira , R. Silva , A. Franco","doi":"10.1016/j.morpho.2025.101081","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Several radiographic methods have been proposed for dental age estimation, among which the Willems model and its Brazilian adaptation by Franco et al. (2024) have shown promising results. However, the Brazilian model has not yet been tested in Northeastern populations. This study aimed to validate Franco's model in a sample of children and adolescents from Alagoas, Northeastern Brazil. A retrospective, cross-sectional study was performed on 500 panoramic radiographs (250<!--> <!-->males, 250<!--> <!-->females) aged 6–15.99<!--> <!-->years, distributed evenly across one-year intervals. Chronological age was calculated from documentary records and compared with dental age estimated using Demirjian's staging system and Franco's Brazilian model. Mean error (ME), mean absolute error (MAE), and root mean squared error (RMSE) were calculated and complemented by Bland – Altman analysis. The mean chronological age was 11.0<!--> <!-->±<!--> <!-->2.9<!--> <!-->years, while the mean estimated age was 10.8<!--> <!-->±<!--> <!-->2.5<!--> <!-->years. The overall ME was 0.18<!--> <!-->years (0.06<!--> <!-->males, 0.29<!--> <!-->females). The MAE was 0.70<!--> <!-->years (0.67<!--> <!-->males, 0.73<!--> <!-->females), with the best performance between 7 and 10.99<!--> <!-->years (<<!--> <!-->0.5<!--> <!-->years). RMSE values increased in older groups, reaching<!--> <!-->><!--> <!-->1.0<!--> <!-->year after age 13.99. Bland–Altman plots showed a transition from overestimation in younger ages to underestimation in older ages, earlier in females. The Brazilian model was adequate for the studied population, particularly for individuals aged 7–10.99<!--> <!-->years, with overall differences below one year.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":39316,"journal":{"name":"Morphologie","volume":"110 368","pages":"Article 101081"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Morphologie","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S128601152500133X","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2025/11/11 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"Medicine","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Several radiographic methods have been proposed for dental age estimation, among which the Willems model and its Brazilian adaptation by Franco et al. (2024) have shown promising results. However, the Brazilian model has not yet been tested in Northeastern populations. This study aimed to validate Franco's model in a sample of children and adolescents from Alagoas, Northeastern Brazil. A retrospective, cross-sectional study was performed on 500 panoramic radiographs (250 males, 250 females) aged 6–15.99 years, distributed evenly across one-year intervals. Chronological age was calculated from documentary records and compared with dental age estimated using Demirjian's staging system and Franco's Brazilian model. Mean error (ME), mean absolute error (MAE), and root mean squared error (RMSE) were calculated and complemented by Bland – Altman analysis. The mean chronological age was 11.0 ± 2.9 years, while the mean estimated age was 10.8 ± 2.5 years. The overall ME was 0.18 years (0.06 males, 0.29 females). The MAE was 0.70 years (0.67 males, 0.73 females), with the best performance between 7 and 10.99 years (< 0.5 years). RMSE values increased in older groups, reaching > 1.0 year after age 13.99. Bland–Altman plots showed a transition from overestimation in younger ages to underestimation in older ages, earlier in females. The Brazilian model was adequate for the studied population, particularly for individuals aged 7–10.99 years, with overall differences below one year.
期刊介绍:
Morphologie est une revue universitaire avec une ouverture médicale qui sa adresse aux enseignants, aux étudiants, aux chercheurs et aux cliniciens en anatomie et en morphologie. Vous y trouverez les développements les plus actuels de votre spécialité, en France comme a international. Le objectif de Morphologie est d?offrir des lectures privilégiées sous forme de revues générales, d?articles originaux, de mises au point didactiques et de revues de la littérature, qui permettront notamment aux enseignants de optimiser leurs cours et aux spécialistes d?enrichir leurs connaissances.