Sensitivity of post-treatment surveillance in detecting recurrence and metastasis in surgically treated HPV-positive oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma patients
Agnes Q Zhu , Claire E Cassianni , Travis Haller , Thomas J. O’Byrne , Pablo Ochoa , Tissiana Vallecillo , Andrew Pumford , Felicia Olawuni , Eric J Moore , Daniel L Price , Kendall K Tasche , Linda X Yin , Daniel J Ma , Scott C Lester , Mauricio Gamez , Michelle A Neben Wittich , Katharine A Price , Kathryn M Van Abel , David M Routman
{"title":"Sensitivity of post-treatment surveillance in detecting recurrence and metastasis in surgically treated HPV-positive oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma patients","authors":"Agnes Q Zhu , Claire E Cassianni , Travis Haller , Thomas J. O’Byrne , Pablo Ochoa , Tissiana Vallecillo , Andrew Pumford , Felicia Olawuni , Eric J Moore , Daniel L Price , Kendall K Tasche , Linda X Yin , Daniel J Ma , Scott C Lester , Mauricio Gamez , Michelle A Neben Wittich , Katharine A Price , Kathryn M Van Abel , David M Routman","doi":"10.1016/j.oraloncology.2025.107767","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Introduction</h3><div>There is a lack of data regarding the appropriate surveillance of HPV(+)OPSCC. Our study aims to determine the sensitivity of patient symptoms, physical exam findings, and imaging in identifying recurrence and disease progression.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>Mayo Clinic IRB (22–000684) approval was obtained, and the departmental REDCap database was queried to identify all HPV(+)OPSCC patients from 01/01/2006 to 12/31/2021 at our tertiary care center. Surgically treated patients with pathologic specimens positive for HPV (confirmed with in-situ hybridization (ISH) and/or p16 immuno-histochemistry) without evidence of distant metastatic disease at diagnosis were included.<!--> <!-->Sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV of patient symptoms, physical exam findings, and imaging for disease progression were assessed both overall and at each time point.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>142/1142 patients experienced disease progression. 70% of patients with disease progression were detected within the first two years of surveillance. 79 patients with disease progression were detected via routine surveillance imaging, 34 via patient-reported symptoms, and 5 via physical exam.</div><div>Routine surveillance imaging was the most sensitive method of detection for locoregional recurrence (sensitivity 92.3%, PPV 6.5%, NPV 42.9%) and distant metastasis (sensitivity 100%, PPV 6.7%, NPV 100.0%). Patient symptoms in aggregate had a 73.1% sensitivity for detecting locoregional recurrence (PPV 8.7%, NPV 95.4%); however no individual symptom had a sensitivity over 30%. Physical exam findings were the least sensitive method of detection.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>Our findings demonstrate that the majority of recurrences are detected within the first two years of surveillance. Routine surveillance imaging is the most sensitive modality for detecting disease progression as compared to patient symptoms or physical exam findings. Additional studies integrating newer technologies, such as ctHPVDNA. into surveillance are needed.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":19716,"journal":{"name":"Oral oncology","volume":"171 ","pages":"Article 107767"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0000,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Oral oncology","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1368837525005962","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2025/11/1 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"DENTISTRY, ORAL SURGERY & MEDICINE","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Introduction
There is a lack of data regarding the appropriate surveillance of HPV(+)OPSCC. Our study aims to determine the sensitivity of patient symptoms, physical exam findings, and imaging in identifying recurrence and disease progression.
Methods
Mayo Clinic IRB (22–000684) approval was obtained, and the departmental REDCap database was queried to identify all HPV(+)OPSCC patients from 01/01/2006 to 12/31/2021 at our tertiary care center. Surgically treated patients with pathologic specimens positive for HPV (confirmed with in-situ hybridization (ISH) and/or p16 immuno-histochemistry) without evidence of distant metastatic disease at diagnosis were included. Sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV of patient symptoms, physical exam findings, and imaging for disease progression were assessed both overall and at each time point.
Results
142/1142 patients experienced disease progression. 70% of patients with disease progression were detected within the first two years of surveillance. 79 patients with disease progression were detected via routine surveillance imaging, 34 via patient-reported symptoms, and 5 via physical exam.
Routine surveillance imaging was the most sensitive method of detection for locoregional recurrence (sensitivity 92.3%, PPV 6.5%, NPV 42.9%) and distant metastasis (sensitivity 100%, PPV 6.7%, NPV 100.0%). Patient symptoms in aggregate had a 73.1% sensitivity for detecting locoregional recurrence (PPV 8.7%, NPV 95.4%); however no individual symptom had a sensitivity over 30%. Physical exam findings were the least sensitive method of detection.
Conclusion
Our findings demonstrate that the majority of recurrences are detected within the first two years of surveillance. Routine surveillance imaging is the most sensitive modality for detecting disease progression as compared to patient symptoms or physical exam findings. Additional studies integrating newer technologies, such as ctHPVDNA. into surveillance are needed.
期刊介绍:
Oral Oncology is an international interdisciplinary journal which publishes high quality original research, clinical trials and review articles, editorials, and commentaries relating to the etiopathogenesis, epidemiology, prevention, clinical features, diagnosis, treatment and management of patients with neoplasms in the head and neck.
Oral Oncology is of interest to head and neck surgeons, radiation and medical oncologists, maxillo-facial surgeons, oto-rhino-laryngologists, plastic surgeons, pathologists, scientists, oral medical specialists, special care dentists, dental care professionals, general dental practitioners, public health physicians, palliative care physicians, nurses, radiologists, radiographers, dieticians, occupational therapists, speech and language therapists, nutritionists, clinical and health psychologists and counselors, professionals in end of life care, as well as others interested in these fields.