Interaction-aware trajectory prediction for heterogeneous agents in shared spaces

IF 3.1 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Junfei Zhang , Yingchun Fan , Fei Hui , Erlong Tan , Xingkai Zhou
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Trajectory prediction in shared spaces represents a fundamental challenge for autonomous systems, requiring accurate forecasting of heterogeneous traffic participants including pedestrians, cyclists, and vehicles. Although deep learning methods have advanced trajectory forecasting, most existing approaches either neglect heterogeneity among agents or focus solely on interactions during the observed history, failing to account for dynamically evolving interactions that may emerge in future time steps. To address these challenges, we propose a novel encoder–decoder framework that strategically integrates cascade spatial–temporal interaction modeling in the encoder and a cross-LSTM decoder, explicitly capturing interactions in the observed history while leveraging the cross-LSTM to account for dynamically emerging interactions throughout the prediction horizon. Experiments on two datasets demonstrate that our approach achieves superior prediction accuracy(ADE/FDE) and lower collision rates compared to strong baselines. Factor analysis and ablation studies validate the effectiveness of each core module and further reveal that reducing the frequency of interaction modeling in the decoder improves both prediction accuracy and computational efficiency. Our findings provide valuable insights for designing more effective and efficient architectures for trajectory prediction in shared space.
共享空间中异构agent的交互感知轨迹预测
共享空间的轨迹预测是自动驾驶系统面临的一个基本挑战,需要对包括行人、骑自行车者和车辆在内的异构交通参与者进行准确预测。尽管深度学习方法具有先进的轨迹预测,但大多数现有方法要么忽略了智能体之间的异质性,要么只关注观察历史中的相互作用,未能考虑到可能在未来时间步骤中出现的动态演变的相互作用。为了解决这些挑战,我们提出了一种新的编码器-解码器框架,该框架在编码器和跨lstm解码器中战略性地集成了级联时空交互建模,明确地捕获观察历史中的交互,同时利用跨lstm来解释整个预测范围内动态出现的交互。在两个数据集上的实验表明,与强基线相比,我们的方法实现了更高的预测精度(ADE/FDE)和更低的碰撞率。因子分析和消融研究验证了每个核心模块的有效性,并进一步表明降低解码器中交互建模的频率可以提高预测精度和计算效率。我们的研究结果为在共享空间中设计更有效和高效的轨迹预测架构提供了有价值的见解。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
7.20
自引率
9.10%
发文量
852
审稿时长
6.6 months
期刊介绍: Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications Recognized by the European Physical Society Physica A publishes research in the field of statistical mechanics and its applications. Statistical mechanics sets out to explain the behaviour of macroscopic systems by studying the statistical properties of their microscopic constituents. Applications of the techniques of statistical mechanics are widespread, and include: applications to physical systems such as solids, liquids and gases; applications to chemical and biological systems (colloids, interfaces, complex fluids, polymers and biopolymers, cell physics); and other interdisciplinary applications to for instance biological, economical and sociological systems.
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