Adaptive hybrid spatial hypergraph convolution module with data embedding optimization for stock ranking prediction

IF 3.1 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Yicheng Qian, Pufan Pang
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Spatio-temporal data mining have various applications in the domains of finance, transportation, and sociology. Predicting stock rankings is a typical case that presents certain challenges. These challenges include: (1) The inability of existing graph learning methods, Regardless of how comprehensive their prior knowledge used for constructing graph relationships are, to generate significant improvements due to their lack of adaptive capturing of highdimensional data structures. (2) In time series forecasting. Stationarizing the data can more effectively capture data trends, but this operation may lead to the loss of important non-stationary factor information. (3) Spatio-temporal data mining models typically integrate time, space, and graph learning modules. Different modules with different functionalities often require different training environments. Many models rely solely on end-to-end optimization through the loss function. This leads to insufficient driving force for downstream modules, gradient environment disruptions, training blockages, and other issues. To address these challenges, we propose the Adaptive Hybrid Spatial Hypergraph Convolution Network (AHS-HGCN). Specifically, multiple multi-functional attention mechanisms are introduced to model the main task and provide suitable training environments for downstream modules. Among them, the HSCA module is capable of outputting hybrid spatial hyperedge weights and rewriting upstream outputs, maximizing the efficiency of model training. We evaluate the framework on three large-scale real stock datasets (NASDAQ, NYSE, and TSE). Compared to the baseline models, it achieved a minimum improvement of 27.22 % and a maximum improvement of 30.89 %.
基于数据嵌入优化的自适应混合空间超图卷积模型用于股票排序预测
时空数据挖掘在金融、交通、社会学等领域有着广泛的应用。预测股票排名是一个典型的例子,它提出了一定的挑战。这些挑战包括:(1)现有的图学习方法,无论它们用于构建图关系的先验知识多么全面,由于缺乏对高维数据结构的自适应捕获,都无法产生显著的改进。(2)在时间序列预测中。对数据进行平稳化可以更有效地捕捉数据趋势,但这种操作可能会导致重要的非平稳性因素信息的丢失。(3)时空数据挖掘模型通常集成了时间、空间和图学习模块。具有不同功能的不同模块通常需要不同的训练环境。许多模型完全依赖于通过损失函数进行的端到端优化。这会导致下游模块动力不足、梯度环境中断、培训阻塞等问题。为了解决这些挑战,我们提出了自适应混合空间超图卷积网络(AHS-HGCN)。具体而言,引入多种多功能注意机制对主要任务进行建模,并为下游模块提供合适的训练环境。其中,HSCA模块能够输出混合空间超边缘权值并重写上游输出,最大限度地提高了模型训练效率。我们在三个大规模的真实股票数据集(纳斯达克、纽约证券交易所和东京证券交易所)上评估了该框架。与基线模型相比,最小改善27.22 %,最大改善30.89 %。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
7.20
自引率
9.10%
发文量
852
审稿时长
6.6 months
期刊介绍: Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications Recognized by the European Physical Society Physica A publishes research in the field of statistical mechanics and its applications. Statistical mechanics sets out to explain the behaviour of macroscopic systems by studying the statistical properties of their microscopic constituents. Applications of the techniques of statistical mechanics are widespread, and include: applications to physical systems such as solids, liquids and gases; applications to chemical and biological systems (colloids, interfaces, complex fluids, polymers and biopolymers, cell physics); and other interdisciplinary applications to for instance biological, economical and sociological systems.
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