Can monetary policy mitigate the COVID-19 shocks? Based on the perspective of both the real economy and financial stability

IF 5.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Chenyang Ran , Hui An , Yue Li
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Using data from 10 major economies between January 2020 and December 2021, we examine whether monetary policy mitigates pandemic-related shocks on the real economy and financial stability. The key findings: First, COVID-19 adversely affects economic growth, price stability, and full employment, but not the balance of payments and financial stability; Second, monetary policy only mitigates the COVID-19 negative shock on economic growth; Third, emerging economies experience more extensive shocks than developed economies, with conventional and unconventional monetary policy in both subsamples mitigating a few parts of pandemic's negative impacts; Fourth, COVID-19 affects the real economy and financial stability through demand contraction, supply shock, and expected weakening channels, while monetary policy works only through the demand contraction channel. These findings offer insights for central banks to use monetary policy tools in mitigating negative shocks from future public health emergencies.
货币政策能否缓解COVID-19的冲击?基于实体经济和金融稳定的视角
利用2020年1月至2021年12月10个主要经济体的数据,我们研究了货币政策是否缓解了与大流行相关的实体经济和金融稳定冲击。主要发现:第一,新冠肺炎疫情对经济增长、价格稳定和充分就业产生不利影响,但对国际收支和金融稳定没有负面影响;第二,货币政策只能缓解疫情对经济增长的负面冲击;第三,新兴经济体遭受的冲击比发达经济体更广泛,两个子样本的常规和非常规货币政策减轻了大流行的部分负面影响;第四,新冠肺炎对实体经济和金融稳定的影响是通过需求收缩、供给冲击和预期弱化等渠道实现的,而货币政策只能通过需求收缩渠道发挥作用。这些发现为中央银行利用货币政策工具减轻未来突发公共卫生事件的负面冲击提供了见解。
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来源期刊
Pacific-Basin Finance Journal
Pacific-Basin Finance Journal BUSINESS, FINANCE-
CiteScore
6.80
自引率
6.50%
发文量
157
期刊介绍: The Pacific-Basin Finance Journal is aimed at providing a specialized forum for the publication of academic research on capital markets of the Asia-Pacific countries. Primary emphasis will be placed on the highest quality empirical and theoretical research in the following areas: • Market Micro-structure; • Investment and Portfolio Management; • Theories of Market Equilibrium; • Valuation of Financial and Real Assets; • Behavior of Asset Prices in Financial Sectors; • Normative Theory of Financial Management; • Capital Markets of Development; • Market Mechanisms.
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