{"title":"Variance-based difference between graphical identification conditions of causal effects in linear structural equation models","authors":"Chie Taguchi , Manabu Kuroki","doi":"10.1016/j.spl.2025.110561","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In the context of statistical causal inference using linear structural equation models, researchers in the field of artificial intelligence and statistical science have developed several identification conditions for evaluating causal effects. However, there are some scenarios where several identification conditions can be applied simultaneously to estimate causal effects. To enhance estimation accuracy, we focus on five key identification conditions: the back-door criterion, the front-door criterion, the front-door-like criterion, the conditional instrumental variable condition, and the effect restoration condition. We then compare these five identification conditions in terms of estimation accuracy (asymptotic variance) and conclude that, in some cases, the qualitative comparison of estimation accuracy among these identification conditions can be directly assessed from the graphical structure, even before statistical data are collected.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49475,"journal":{"name":"Statistics & Probability Letters","volume":"228 ","pages":"Article 110561"},"PeriodicalIF":0.7000,"publicationDate":"2026-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Statistics & Probability Letters","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167715225002068","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2025/10/10 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
In the context of statistical causal inference using linear structural equation models, researchers in the field of artificial intelligence and statistical science have developed several identification conditions for evaluating causal effects. However, there are some scenarios where several identification conditions can be applied simultaneously to estimate causal effects. To enhance estimation accuracy, we focus on five key identification conditions: the back-door criterion, the front-door criterion, the front-door-like criterion, the conditional instrumental variable condition, and the effect restoration condition. We then compare these five identification conditions in terms of estimation accuracy (asymptotic variance) and conclude that, in some cases, the qualitative comparison of estimation accuracy among these identification conditions can be directly assessed from the graphical structure, even before statistical data are collected.
期刊介绍:
Statistics & Probability Letters adopts a novel and highly innovative approach to the publication of research findings in statistics and probability. It features concise articles, rapid publication and broad coverage of the statistics and probability literature.
Statistics & Probability Letters is a refereed journal. Articles will be limited to six journal pages (13 double-space typed pages) including references and figures. Apart from the six-page limitation, originality, quality and clarity will be the criteria for choosing the material to be published in Statistics & Probability Letters. Every attempt will be made to provide the first review of a submitted manuscript within three months of submission.
The proliferation of literature and long publication delays have made it difficult for researchers and practitioners to keep up with new developments outside of, or even within, their specialization. The aim of Statistics & Probability Letters is to help to alleviate this problem. Concise communications (letters) allow readers to quickly and easily digest large amounts of material and to stay up-to-date with developments in all areas of statistics and probability.
The mainstream of Letters will focus on new statistical methods, theoretical results, and innovative applications of statistics and probability to other scientific disciplines. Key results and central ideas must be presented in a clear and concise manner. These results may be part of a larger study that the author will submit at a later time as a full length paper to SPL or to another journal. Theory and methodology may be published with proofs omitted, or only sketched, but only if sufficient support material is provided so that the findings can be verified. Empirical and computational results that are of significant value will be published.