The Contribution of Educational Expansion to Trends in Life Expectancy and Lifespan Variation in England and Wales, Finland, and Italy (Turin).

IF 3.5 1区社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY

Demography Pub Date : 2025-10-01 DOI:10.1215/00703370-12270715

Jesús-Daniel Zazueta-Borboa, Ugofilippo Basellini, Emilio Zagheni, Leo van Wissen, Pekka Martikainen, Fanny Janssen

{"title":"The Contribution of Educational Expansion to Trends in Life Expectancy and Lifespan Variation in England and Wales, Finland, and Italy (Turin).","authors":"Jesús-Daniel Zazueta-Borboa, Ugofilippo Basellini, Emilio Zagheni, Leo van Wissen, Pekka Martikainen, Fanny Janssen","doi":"10.1215/00703370-12270715","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Educational expansion has contributed considerably to increasing life expectancy, but its contribution to lifespan variation trends is unclear. We assessed the contributions of educational expansion and mortality changes by educational group to trends in life expectancy (e30) and lifespan variation (e30†) at age 30 in England and Wales, Finland, and Italy (Turin) in 1975-2015. We applied decomposition analysis to education-specific mortality rates by age and sex derived from individually linked administrative mortality data by country, educational attainment (low, middle, and high), sex, age, and calendar year. Educational expansion contributed simultaneously to increasing e30 and decreasing e30† for all age groups studied. The contribution of educational expansion to the trends in e30 and e30† was higher in Finland, particularly for e30†; it was higher among males than among females in England and Wales and in Italy. Over time, the contribution of the educational expansion to trends in e30 and e30† increased. Mortality changes among the low-educated contributed the most to increases in e30 but counterbalanced selected declines in e30†. Educational expansion thus proved to be an important driver of both longer and more equal lifespans. Our finding suggests that educational expansion will also likely influence future mortality progress.</p>","PeriodicalId":48394,"journal":{"name":"Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1689-1715"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5000,"publicationDate":"2025-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Demography","FirstCategoryId":"90","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1215/00703370-12270715","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"DEMOGRAPHY","Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Abstract

Educational expansion has contributed considerably to increasing life expectancy, but its contribution to lifespan variation trends is unclear. We assessed the contributions of educational expansion and mortality changes by educational group to trends in life expectancy (e30) and lifespan variation (e30†) at age 30 in England and Wales, Finland, and Italy (Turin) in 1975-2015. We applied decomposition analysis to education-specific mortality rates by age and sex derived from individually linked administrative mortality data by country, educational attainment (low, middle, and high), sex, age, and calendar year. Educational expansion contributed simultaneously to increasing e30 and decreasing e30† for all age groups studied. The contribution of educational expansion to the trends in e30 and e30† was higher in Finland, particularly for e30†; it was higher among males than among females in England and Wales and in Italy. Over time, the contribution of the educational expansion to trends in e30 and e30† increased. Mortality changes among the low-educated contributed the most to increases in e30 but counterbalanced selected declines in e30†. Educational expansion thus proved to be an important driver of both longer and more equal lifespans. Our finding suggests that educational expansion will also likely influence future mortality progress.

查看原文本刊更多论文

教育扩张对英格兰、威尔士、芬兰和意大利预期寿命和寿命变化趋势的贡献（都灵）。

教育的扩大对预期寿命的延长作出了很大的贡献，但其对寿命变化趋势的贡献尚不清楚。我们评估了1975-2015年英格兰、威尔士、芬兰和意大利（都灵）各教育群体的教育扩张和死亡率变化对30岁时预期寿命（e30）和寿命变化（e30†）趋势的贡献。我们将分解分析应用于按年龄和性别分列的特定教育死亡率，这些死亡率来源于按国家、受教育程度（低、中、高）、性别、年龄和历年分列的单独关联的行政死亡率数据。教育扩张同时促进了所有年龄组e30的增加和e30†的减少。芬兰的教育扩张对e30和e30†趋势的贡献更高，尤其是e30†；在英格兰、威尔士和意大利，男性的肥胖率高于女性。随着时间的推移，教育扩张对e30和e30†趋势的贡献增加了。受教育程度低的人群死亡率的变化对e30的增加贡献最大，但抵消了e30†的选择性下降。因此，教育扩张被证明是寿命更长、更平等的重要驱动力。我们的发现表明，教育扩张也可能影响未来死亡率的进步。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

求助全文

约1分钟内获得全文求助全文

来源期刊

Demography DEMOGRAPHY-

CiteScore

5.90

自引率

2.90%

发文量

期刊介绍： Since its founding in 1964, the journal Demography has mirrored the vitality, diversity, high intellectual standard and wide impact of the field on which it reports. Demography presents the highest quality original research of scholars in a broad range of disciplines, including anthropology, biology, economics, geography, history, psychology, public health, sociology, and statistics. The journal encompasses a wide variety of methodological approaches to population research. Its geographic focus is global, with articles addressing demographic matters from around the planet. Its temporal scope is broad, as represented by research that explores demographic phenomena spanning the ages from the past to the present, and reaching toward the future. Authors whose work is published in Demography benefit from the wide audience of population scientists their research will reach. Also in 2011 Demography remains the most cited journal among population studies and demographic periodicals. Published bimonthly, Demography is the flagship journal of the Population Association of America, reaching the membership of one of the largest professional demographic associations in the world.