Burden of Cardiovascular Diseases Attributable to Hypertension in Population Aged 60 Years or Older from 1990 to 2040 across BRICS-plus Countries (Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa).

IF 2.9 Q2 PERIPHERAL VASCULAR DISEASE
Hongrui Zhang, Bin Wang, Jiake Guo, Yichen Liu, Zhuoshuai Liang, Xiaoyang Li, Ruofei Li, Yuyang Tian, Shuan Qiu, Yong Li, Yulu Gu, Huan He, Yichun Qiao, Siyu Liu, Yunkai Liu, Yi Cheng, Yawen Liu
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Introduction: Hypertension, frequently found in the population aged 60 years or older, is associated with multiple cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). BRICS-plus countries (Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) account for over 40% of global population and are undergoing rapid economic development and population growth. The burden of CVDs attributable to hypertension in the elderly population of BRICS-plus remains uncharted.

Aim: To Explore the burden of CVDs attributable to hypertension in the elderly population in BRICS-plus.

Methods: Deaths and disability adjusted life years (DALYs) were used as indices of the burden of CVDs attributable to hypertension. This burden was investigated using joinpoint regression, age-period-cohort, and Nordpred analysis.

Results: Age-standardized DALYs rate and age-standardized mortality rate declined in Russia after 2002, but fluctuating in United Arab Emirates after 2003. The average age-standardized DALYs rate of stroke, ischemic heart disease (IHD), and hypertensive heart disease (HHD) had anisotropic features for nations (China: 58.02%, Russia: 54.64%, and Ethiopia: 37.81%) from 1990 to 2021.

Conclusion: The burden of CVDs attributable to hypertension in the elderly population from 1990 to 2021 in aging countries shows different decline trends. Egypt has the highest burden in none-aging countries. The United Arab Emirates remains elusive because the elderly female population has remained at a relatively low level. HHD, IHD, and stroke account for the highest proportion in Ethiopia, Russia, and China.

1990年至2040年金砖四国(埃及、埃塞俄比亚、伊朗、沙特阿拉伯、阿拉伯联合酋长国、巴西、俄罗斯、印度、中国和南非)60岁及以上人群高血压导致的心血管疾病负担
高血压常见于60岁及以上人群,与多种心血管疾病(cvd)相关。“金砖四国+”国家(埃及、埃塞俄比亚、伊朗、沙特阿拉伯、阿联酋、巴西、俄罗斯、印度、中国和南非)占全球人口的40%以上,经济快速发展,人口快速增长。“金砖四国+”老年人群中高血压导致的心血管疾病负担仍未确定。目的:探讨金砖五国老年人高血压引起的心血管疾病负担。方法:采用死亡和伤残调整生命年(DALYs)作为高血压所致心血管疾病负担的指标。使用连接点回归、年龄-时期-队列和Nordpred分析对这种负担进行了调查。结果:2002年以后,俄罗斯的年龄标准化DALYs率和年龄标准化死亡率下降,但2003年以后,阿拉伯联合酋长国的年龄标准化死亡率出现波动。1990 - 2021年,各国中风、缺血性心脏病(IHD)和高血压心脏病(HHD)的平均年龄标准化DALYs率具有各向异性特征(中国:58.02%,俄罗斯:54.64%,埃塞俄比亚:37.81%)。结论:老龄化国家1990 - 2021年老年人群高血压导致的心血管疾病负担呈现不同的下降趋势。在非老龄化国家中,埃及的负担最重。阿拉伯联合酋长国仍然难以捉摸,因为老年女性人口一直处于相对较低的水平。HHD、IHD和中风在埃塞俄比亚、俄罗斯和中国的比例最高。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.70
自引率
3.30%
发文量
57
期刊介绍: High Blood Pressure & Cardiovascular Prevention promotes knowledge, update and discussion in the field of hypertension and cardiovascular disease prevention, by providing a regular programme of independent review articles covering key aspects of the management of hypertension and cardiovascular diseases. The journal includes:   Invited ''State of the Art'' reviews.  Expert commentaries on guidelines, major trials, technical advances.Presentation of new intervention trials design.''Pros and Cons'' or round tables on controversial issues.Statements on guidelines from hypertension and cardiovascular scientific societies.Socio-economic issues.Cost/benefit in prevention of cardiovascular diseases.Monitoring of healthcare systems.News and views from the Italian Society of Hypertension (including abstracts).All manuscripts are subject to peer review by international experts. Letters to the editor are welcomed and will be considered for publication.
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