Weeberb J Requia, Heresh Amini, Paulo Hilario Nascimento Saldiva
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
Extreme heat is a critical public health threat, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. While its direct health impacts are well documented, less is known about how air pollution modifies heat-related risks. We analyzed daily hospital admissions for circulatory and respiratory diseases in Brazil (2008-2018), combined with high-resolution temperature and pollution (PM₂.₅ and O₃) data. Using generalized additive models and random-effects meta-analysis, we found that PM₂.₅ consistently amplified the effect of heat on respiratory admissions, with a 20.1% increase in risk under high PM₂.₅ conditions (95% CI 4.8-35.4%). In contrast, O₃ showed heterogeneous effects, including a national-level protective association at high concentrations (- 7.6%, 95% CI - 9.6 to - 5.6%). Regional analyses revealed stronger interactions in the North and Southeast. These findings indicate that PM₂.₅ exacerbates, and O₃ variably modifies, heat-related hospitalizations in Brazil, underscoring the need for regionally tailored adaptation and air quality policies.
极端高温是一个严重的公共卫生威胁,特别是在低收入和中等收入国家。虽然空气污染对健康的直接影响有据可查,但人们对空气污染如何改变与热有关的风险知之甚少。我们分析了巴西(2008-2018年)每日循环系统和呼吸系统疾病的住院情况,并结合高分辨率温度和污染(PM₂)。₅和O₃)数据。采用广义加性模型和随机效应元分析,我们发现PM₂。₅持续放大热量对呼吸入口的影响,在高PM 2下风险增加20.1%。₅条件(95% CI 4.8-35.4%)。相比之下,O₃显示出异质效应,包括高浓度的国家级保护性关联(- 7.6%,95% CI - 9.6至- 5.6%)。区域分析显示,北部和东南部的相互作用更强。这些发现表明PM₂。在巴西,₅加剧了与热有关的住院情况,O₃可变地改变了这种情况,这强调了有必要制定适合区域的适应和空气质量政策。
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