Fiscal policy design in collateral-constraint economies: The role of commitment

IF 4.6 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Journal of International Economics Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-04 DOI:10.1016/j.jinteco.2025.104176
Paolo Varraso
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

I study the optimal design of fiscal policy, with and without commitment, in collateral-constraint models where the households’ borrowing capacity is linked to the economy’s real exchange rate. When the collateral constraint is binding, increasing public spending raises the real exchange rate and stabilizes private consumption. However, by making potential crises less costly, higher spending also makes borrowing more attractive. I show that the Ramsey-optimal policy entails a commitment to restrict fiscal stimulus during crisis periods, aimed at deterring excessive debt accumulation. In a quantitative application to Argentina, I show that, despite the potential for substantial ex-post gains from stabilizing the real exchange rate, significant fiscal expansions are not optimal because of the borrowing inefficiency.
抵押品约束经济中的财政政策设计:承诺的作用
我在抵押品约束模型中研究了财政政策的最优设计,无论是否有承诺,其中家庭的借贷能力与经济的实际汇率挂钩。当抵押品约束具有约束力时,增加公共支出会提高实际汇率,稳定私人消费。然而,通过降低潜在危机的成本,更高的支出也使借贷更具吸引力。我指出,拉姆齐最优政策需要承诺在危机期间限制财政刺激,以阻止债务过度积累。在对阿根廷的定量应用中,我表明,尽管稳定实际汇率可能带来巨大的事后收益,但由于借贷效率低下,大幅财政扩张并非最佳选择。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.80
自引率
6.10%
发文量
98
期刊介绍: The Journal of International Economics is intended to serve as the primary outlet for theoretical and empirical research in all areas of international economics. These include, but are not limited to the following: trade patterns, commercial policy; international institutions; exchange rates; open economy macroeconomics; international finance; international factor mobility. The Journal especially encourages the submission of articles which are empirical in nature, or deal with issues of open economy macroeconomics and international finance. Theoretical work submitted to the Journal should be original in its motivation or modelling structure. Empirical analysis should be based on a theoretical framework, and should be capable of replication.
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