{"title":"The slope of the Phillips curve for service prices in Japan: Regional panel data approach","authors":"Yui Kishaba, Tatsushi Okuda","doi":"10.1016/j.jjie.2025.101388","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We estimate the slope of the Phillips curve for service prices in Japan using prefecture-level panel data, where we control for the impact of inflation expectations on inflation by including time-fixed effects instead of proxies for inflation expectations. Our estimates indicate that the slope of the Phillips curve has overall halved, or even decreased further, since the 2000s, during which the Bank of Japan confronted the zero lower bond constraint and implemented unconventional monetary policy measures.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47082,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Japanese and International Economies","volume":"78 ","pages":"Article 101388"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1000,"publicationDate":"2025-09-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of the Japanese and International Economies","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0889158325000371","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
We estimate the slope of the Phillips curve for service prices in Japan using prefecture-level panel data, where we control for the impact of inflation expectations on inflation by including time-fixed effects instead of proxies for inflation expectations. Our estimates indicate that the slope of the Phillips curve has overall halved, or even decreased further, since the 2000s, during which the Bank of Japan confronted the zero lower bond constraint and implemented unconventional monetary policy measures.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of the Japanese and International Economies publishes original reports of research devoted to academic analyses of the Japanese economy and its interdependence on other national economies. The Journal also features articles that present related theoretical, empirical, and comparative analyses with their policy implications. Book reviews are also published.