Modeling the blockchain-related insurance contracts with moral hazard and adverse selection

IF 4.4 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Tingyu Chen , Juan Wang , Song Wang , Chengyi Xia
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Abstract

Information asymmetry has been a challenging topic in the field of game theory, leading to numerous real-world dilemmas. It is common for the principal to simultaneously consider the adverse selection and moral hazard under realistic scenarios in order to manage various agents against the backdrop of principal-agent relationships. Concurrently, advancements in technology, such as artificial intelligence, blockchain and smart contract systems, offer new solutions to these dilemmas. Therefore, this work constructs a comprehensive theoretical framework to solve the bi-directional information asymmetry of moral hazard and adverse selection by use of the basic insurance model, and then analyzes the effect of blockchain technology on the insurance efficiency. Aiming to address those issues induced by information asymmetry, such as low-risk agents bearing additional risk burdens and losses in the market, an improved model is further proposed on the basis of federated blockchain. In the basic model, insurance companies design partial insurance contracts to mitigate the incentives for high-risk agents to disguise their risk levels; however, low-risk agents still face the suboptimal risk exposure. Furthermore, case analyses in multi-agent scenarios demonstrate that the introduction of blockchain, along with the characteristics of smart contracts and distributed ledgers, reduces various costs and alleviates the moral hazard through dynamically adjusted premium incentive mechanisms. Theoretical results indicate that when the adoption rate of blockchain and the cost function meet specific conditions, agents are more inclined to adopt blockchain technology, thereby reducing information rents and optimizing risk distribution. In general, this research provides a potential framework for the application of blockchain technology into the insurance under complex information asymmetry environments.
基于道德风险和逆向选择的区块链相关保险合同建模
信息不对称一直是博弈论领域的一个具有挑战性的话题,导致了许多现实世界的困境。为了在委托代理关系的背景下管理各种代理人,委托人通常会同时考虑现实情景下的逆向选择和道德风险。与此同时,人工智能、区块链和智能合约系统等技术的进步为这些困境提供了新的解决方案。因此,本文运用基本保险模型构建了解决道德风险和逆向选择双向信息不对称的综合理论框架,并分析区块链技术对保险效率的影响。针对信息不对称导致的低风险主体在市场中承担额外的风险负担和损失等问题,在federated区块链的基础上进一步提出了改进模型。在基本模型中,保险公司设计部分保险合同以减轻高风险代理人掩盖其风险水平的激励;然而,低风险药剂仍然面临着次优风险暴露。此外,在多智能体场景下的案例分析表明,区块链的引入,结合智能合约和分布式账本的特点,通过动态调整的溢价激励机制,降低了各种成本,缓解了道德风险。理论结果表明,当区块链的采用率和成本函数满足特定条件时,agent更倾向于采用区块链技术,从而降低信息租金,优化风险分配。总体而言,本研究为区块链技术在复杂信息不对称环境下的保险应用提供了一个潜在的框架。
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来源期刊
Applied Mathematical Modelling
Applied Mathematical Modelling 数学-工程:综合
CiteScore
9.80
自引率
8.00%
发文量
508
审稿时长
43 days
期刊介绍: Applied Mathematical Modelling focuses on research related to the mathematical modelling of engineering and environmental processes, manufacturing, and industrial systems. A significant emerging area of research activity involves multiphysics processes, and contributions in this area are particularly encouraged. This influential publication covers a wide spectrum of subjects including heat transfer, fluid mechanics, CFD, and transport phenomena; solid mechanics and mechanics of metals; electromagnets and MHD; reliability modelling and system optimization; finite volume, finite element, and boundary element procedures; modelling of inventory, industrial, manufacturing and logistics systems for viable decision making; civil engineering systems and structures; mineral and energy resources; relevant software engineering issues associated with CAD and CAE; and materials and metallurgical engineering. Applied Mathematical Modelling is primarily interested in papers developing increased insights into real-world problems through novel mathematical modelling, novel applications or a combination of these. Papers employing existing numerical techniques must demonstrate sufficient novelty in the solution of practical problems. Papers on fuzzy logic in decision-making or purely financial mathematics are normally not considered. Research on fractional differential equations, bifurcation, and numerical methods needs to include practical examples. Population dynamics must solve realistic scenarios. Papers in the area of logistics and business modelling should demonstrate meaningful managerial insight. Submissions with no real-world application will not be considered.
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