[DYNAMICS OF THE AGE PROFILE OF THE FERTILE CONTINGENT OF THE FEMALE POPULATION AND ITS RELATIONSHIP WITH THE BIRTH RATE OF THE POPULATION OF THE SOUTHERN TERRITORIES OF THE IRKUTSK REGION].

Q4 Medicine
G M Gaidarov, T I Alekseevskaya, T S Krupskaya, A S Vanyarkina, I V Maevskaya
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

The article presents the results of the analysis of the dynamics of the age profile of the female population of fertile age and identifies the factors affecting the fertility rates. It is shown that the absolute number of the female population living in the southern territories of the Irkutsk region has decreased. The proportion of the cohort of fertile age women has decreased in general in the population of the total population and in the population of the female population. The reduction in the number of women of fertile age has led to a change in their age structure towards its aging, a decrease in the proportion of young, active reproductive ages. Special fertility rates make it possible to obtain a quantitative characteristic of the intensity of childbirth. Over the 23-year study period, the fertility rates of the female population have increased in general. It was revealed that in the dynamics, maximum fertility has moved to older age groups (25-29 years), characterizing the intensifying demographic processes of the implementation of late motherhood. As a result of applying the index analysis method, it was revealed that in most southern territories of the region such as: Irkutsk, Angarsk, Angarsk district, Shelekhov, Usolye, Usolsky district, Cheremkhovo, Cheremkhovsky district. in the dynamics of 2005-2023. a decrease in the index of the number of births was recorded. On average, by territory, the key factor influencing the decrease in this index was a decrease in the index of the proportion of women of childbearing age in the total number of women. By territory, the contribution of factors to the decrease in the index of the number of births was different. Thus, for such territories as: Irkutsk, Cheremkhovo, Cheremkhovsky district, Usolye, Angarsk, the key factor in decreasing the index of the number of births was a decrease in the index of the proportion of women of childbearing age from all women. For territories such as: Angarsk and Usolsky districts, the factor determining the decrease in the index of the number of births was a decrease in the fertility rate of the female population. In the Irkutsk and Shelekhovsky districts, a positive trend in the increase in the birth rate index has been formed. The leading factor in the increase in the birth rate index in the Irkutsk district is the increase in the index of the proportion of women of fertile age from all women. For the Shelekhovsky district, this is an increase in the average population index. Calculated special coefficients allow us to predict the dynamics of population reproduction in individual territories and are an important link in the development of regional programs for strengthening the demographic potential of the territories of the constituent entity of the Federation.

[伊尔库茨克州南部地区妇女生育人口的年龄动态及其与人口出生率的关系]。
本文介绍了育龄女性人口年龄分布动态分析的结果,并确定了影响生育率的因素。报告显示,居住在伊尔库茨克州南部地区的女性人口的绝对数量已经减少。育龄妇女在总人口和女性人口中所占的比例总体上有所下降。育龄妇女人数的减少导致她们的年龄结构朝着老龄化的方向发生变化,即年轻、活跃的育龄妇女的比例减少。特殊生育率使人们有可能获得生育强度的数量特征。在23年的研究期间,女性人口的生育率总体上有所提高。据透露,在动态方面,最高生育率已转移到年龄较大的年龄组(25-29岁),其特点是实行晚育的人口进程日益加剧。应用指数分析方法发现,在该地区的大多数南部地区,如:伊尔库茨克,安加尔斯克,安加尔斯克区,舍列霍夫,乌索利,乌索尔斯基区,切列姆霍夫,切列姆霍夫斯基区。在2005-2023年的动态中。出生人数指数有所下降。平均而言,按地区划分,影响该指数下降的关键因素是育龄妇女在妇女总数中所占比例指数的下降。按地区划分,各因素对出生人数指数下降的贡献不同。因此,在伊尔库茨克、切列姆霍沃、切列姆霍夫斯基区、乌索利耶、安加尔斯克等地区,生育人数指数下降的关键因素是育龄妇女在所有妇女中所占比例指数下降。在安加尔斯克州和乌索尔斯基州等地区,决定出生人数指数下降的因素是女性人口生育率的下降。在伊尔库茨克州和舍列霍夫斯基州,出生率指数已形成上升的积极趋势。伊尔库茨克地区出生率指数上升的主要因素是育龄妇女在所有妇女中所占比例指数的上升。对于舍列霍夫斯基区,这是平均人口指数的增长。计算出的特殊系数使我们能够预测个别领土的人口再生产动态,并且是制定区域方案以加强联邦组成实体领土的人口潜力的重要环节。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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