Nikolaos Kakaletsis, Athanase D Protogerou, Naohisa Hosomi, Tomohisa Nezu, Patrik Michel, Thevoz Guillaume, Davide Strambo, Young Seo Kim, Wonjae Sung, Konstantinos Vemmos, Eleni Korompoki, Maurizio Acampa, Jukka Putaala, Lauri Tulkki, Matthias Hermann, Protazy Rejmer, Philip M Bath, Lisa J Woodhouse, Elpida Athanasopoulou, Haralampos Milionis, George Ntaios, Vasilios Kotsis, Christos Savopoulos
{"title":"Impact of vascular aging on stroke prognosis: the novel severity and arterial stiffness (SASt) score.","authors":"Nikolaos Kakaletsis, Athanase D Protogerou, Naohisa Hosomi, Tomohisa Nezu, Patrik Michel, Thevoz Guillaume, Davide Strambo, Young Seo Kim, Wonjae Sung, Konstantinos Vemmos, Eleni Korompoki, Maurizio Acampa, Jukka Putaala, Lauri Tulkki, Matthias Hermann, Protazy Rejmer, Philip M Bath, Lisa J Woodhouse, Elpida Athanasopoulou, Haralampos Milionis, George Ntaios, Vasilios Kotsis, Christos Savopoulos","doi":"10.1007/s10072-025-08527-7","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>Assessing vascular aging to identify and categorize the residual risk of adverse outcomes in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) is important for improving AIS prognoses. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic value and correlation among three indirect measures of vascular aging derived from 24-hour blood pressure monitoring (24 h-BPM) following AIS. Furthermore, it aimed to develop a new score that includes vascular aging metrics to enhance the prognostic accuracy for stroke outcomes.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A total of 2,730 AIS patients with a mean age of 72.0 ± 14.4 years who underwent 24 h-BPM were included. Three vascular aging indexes derived from 24 h-BPM: estimated pulse wave velocity (ePWV), early vascular aging ambulatory score (EVAAs), and 24-hour pulse pressure (24 h-PP) were evaluated. Primary outcome was the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score > 2 at 3 months post-stroke.</p><p><strong>Result: </strong>ePWV showed superior predictive value for poor functional outcome (AUC: 0.77, 95% CI: 0.74-0.79) at 3 months post-stroke. Optimal cutoff points for predicting poor functional outcome at 3 months were 12.2 m/s for ePWV (sensitivity: 79.4%, specificity: 61.7%), 65% for EVAAs (sensitivity: 66.4%, specificity: 51.5%), and 51.1mmHg for 24 h-PP (sensitivity: 66.7%, specificity: 46.6%). A new \"Severity and Arterial Stiffness\" (SASt) score was formulated: SASt = NIHSS + 2*ePWV, which demonstrated excellent discriminatory power for predicting poor functional outcome (AUC: 0.87, 95% CI: 0.85-0.88) at 3 months post-stroke.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The ePWV and the new SASt score show promising potential as tools for identifying patients at higher risk for poor outcomes at 3 months post-stroke. While these findings are encouraging, further prospective studies are needed to validate their utility before they can be adopted in clinical practice.</p>","PeriodicalId":19191,"journal":{"name":"Neurological Sciences","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.4000,"publicationDate":"2025-10-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Neurological Sciences","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10072-025-08527-7","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"CLINICAL NEUROLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Introduction: Assessing vascular aging to identify and categorize the residual risk of adverse outcomes in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) is important for improving AIS prognoses. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic value and correlation among three indirect measures of vascular aging derived from 24-hour blood pressure monitoring (24 h-BPM) following AIS. Furthermore, it aimed to develop a new score that includes vascular aging metrics to enhance the prognostic accuracy for stroke outcomes.
Methods: A total of 2,730 AIS patients with a mean age of 72.0 ± 14.4 years who underwent 24 h-BPM were included. Three vascular aging indexes derived from 24 h-BPM: estimated pulse wave velocity (ePWV), early vascular aging ambulatory score (EVAAs), and 24-hour pulse pressure (24 h-PP) were evaluated. Primary outcome was the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score > 2 at 3 months post-stroke.
Result: ePWV showed superior predictive value for poor functional outcome (AUC: 0.77, 95% CI: 0.74-0.79) at 3 months post-stroke. Optimal cutoff points for predicting poor functional outcome at 3 months were 12.2 m/s for ePWV (sensitivity: 79.4%, specificity: 61.7%), 65% for EVAAs (sensitivity: 66.4%, specificity: 51.5%), and 51.1mmHg for 24 h-PP (sensitivity: 66.7%, specificity: 46.6%). A new "Severity and Arterial Stiffness" (SASt) score was formulated: SASt = NIHSS + 2*ePWV, which demonstrated excellent discriminatory power for predicting poor functional outcome (AUC: 0.87, 95% CI: 0.85-0.88) at 3 months post-stroke.
Conclusions: The ePWV and the new SASt score show promising potential as tools for identifying patients at higher risk for poor outcomes at 3 months post-stroke. While these findings are encouraging, further prospective studies are needed to validate their utility before they can be adopted in clinical practice.
期刊介绍:
Neurological Sciences is intended to provide a medium for the communication of results and ideas in the field of neuroscience. The journal welcomes contributions in both the basic and clinical aspects of the neurosciences. The official language of the journal is English. Reports are published in the form of original articles, short communications, editorials, reviews and letters to the editor. Original articles present the results of experimental or clinical studies in the neurosciences, while short communications are succinct reports permitting the rapid publication of novel results. Original contributions may be submitted for the special sections History of Neurology, Health Care and Neurological Digressions - a forum for cultural topics related to the neurosciences. The journal also publishes correspondence book reviews, meeting reports and announcements.