{"title":"Dynamics analysis of a stochastic regime-switching transmission model with governmental policy","authors":"Hongjie Fan , Kai Wang , Yanling Zhu","doi":"10.1016/j.aml.2025.109771","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In this paper, we propose and investigate a stochastic SEQIR epidemic model with Markovian regime-switching. Governmental policies and their implementation efficiency are incorporated by a generalized incidence function of the susceptible class. Using the Lyapunov method, we illustrate the existence and uniqueness of the globally positive solution to the stochastic model. Furthermore, we also analyze the dynamical behaviors of the disease, and derive sufficient conditions for its extinction and persistence in mean. Finally, numerical simulations are presented to verify the theoretical findings.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":55497,"journal":{"name":"Applied Mathematics Letters","volume":"173 ","pages":"Article 109771"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8000,"publicationDate":"2025-09-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Applied Mathematics Letters","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0893965925003210","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"MATHEMATICS, APPLIED","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
In this paper, we propose and investigate a stochastic SEQIR epidemic model with Markovian regime-switching. Governmental policies and their implementation efficiency are incorporated by a generalized incidence function of the susceptible class. Using the Lyapunov method, we illustrate the existence and uniqueness of the globally positive solution to the stochastic model. Furthermore, we also analyze the dynamical behaviors of the disease, and derive sufficient conditions for its extinction and persistence in mean. Finally, numerical simulations are presented to verify the theoretical findings.
期刊介绍:
The purpose of Applied Mathematics Letters is to provide a means of rapid publication for important but brief applied mathematical papers. The brief descriptions of any work involving a novel application or utilization of mathematics, or a development in the methodology of applied mathematics is a potential contribution for this journal. This journal''s focus is on applied mathematics topics based on differential equations and linear algebra. Priority will be given to submissions that are likely to appeal to a wide audience.