Hui Pan , C. Yu Dong , Z. Cheng Yang , Y. Bin Xi , He Lin , J. Lu Zhu , X. Wen Wang , H. Jie Zhan , Z. Hao Wang
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background
The product of serum creatinine and cystatin C-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (hereinafter referred to as “Cr × eGFRcys”), serving as the formula for the Sarcopenia Index (SI), could be regarded as a representative marker for sarcopenia. However, no studies have investigated whether Cr × eGFRcys can predict all-cause mortality in elderly patients with acute myocardial infraction (AMI).
Aim
To investigate the association between Cr × eGFRcys and all-cause mortality risk in elderly AMI patients.
Methods
We conducted a retrospective cohort analysis of 500 elderly (≥65 years) AMI patients. Participants were stratified into high and low Cr × eGFRcys groups using the optimal cut-off determined by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, with all-cause mortality as the primary endpoint. Kaplan–Meier (hereinafter referred to as “K-M”) survival curves assessed survival differences (log-rank test). Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models evaluated the independent association of Cr × eGFRcys (as continuous, categorical, or per-standard deviation increase) with mortality. The added predictive value beyond conventional risk factors was assessed through C-statistics, continuous net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI).
Result
Survival analysis revealed significantly better outcomes in the high Cr × eGFRcys group compared to the low group (log-rank p < 0.0001). Inclusion of Cr × eGFRcys significantly enhanced the predictive accuracy of the baseline risk model for all-cause mortality: NRI = 0.43 (95 % CI: 0.17–0.61, p < 0.01), IDI = 0.04 (95 % CI: 0.01–0.08, p = 0.02), and C-index = 0.93 (95 % CI: 0.90–0.96), all with p < 0.05.
Conclusion
Cr × eGFRcys was significantly associated with all-cause mortality, and the optimal cut-off value for predicting all-cause mortality was 53.56, suggesting that Cr × eGFRcys may serve as a valid marker of all-cause mortality in elderly patients with AMI.
期刊介绍:
Clinical Nutrition, the official journal of ESPEN, The European Society for Clinical Nutrition and Metabolism, is an international journal providing essential scientific information on nutritional and metabolic care and the relationship between nutrition and disease both in the setting of basic science and clinical practice. Published bi-monthly, each issue combines original articles and reviews providing an invaluable reference for any specialist concerned with these fields.