Sustainable development of the resource utilization of poultry waste: based on the hybrid fuzzy cognitive map method

IF 3.4 4区环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology Pub Date : 2025-08-27 DOI:10.1007/s13762-025-06727-4

Z. Wang, G. Yao, Z. Wang, H. Guo, W. Huang, T. Hou, H. Wang, G. Xu

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Abstract

The utilization of poultry waste could mitigate environment damage and generate organic fertilizer and energy. However, the resource utilization of poultry waste is currently confronted with formidable challenges. To facilitate the resource utilization of poultry waste and enhance the sustainable development of the industry, this study integrates the PESTEL and FCM (fuzzy cognitive map) methods to established a hybrid model to analyze the influence of factors on the system, and employs the fuzzy cognitive map to conduct dynamic reasoning research on the system. The results demonstrate that the indegree of S3 is the greatest at 6.598, suggesting that S3 is more likely influenced. The outdegree of P3 is the highest at 3.5, indicating that the factor of system P3 is dynamic and is likely to exert an impact on the system. The top 5 factors in terms of centrality are the breeding behavior characteristics of farmers (S3), the cost of resource utilization (EC4), the convenience of poultry waste utilization (S2), the incentive policies (P3), and financial market tools (EC3), with their centralities being 7.852, 6.42, 6.098, 4.051, and 3.646 respectively. These factors are the most prominent ones impeding the resource utilization of poultry waste. Eventually, this study proposes relevant policy recommendations to facilitate the resource utilization of poultry waste.

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家禽废弃物资源化利用的可持续发展：基于混合模糊认知图法

利用禽肉废弃物可以减轻对环境的破坏，产生有机肥和能源。然而，目前家禽废弃物资源化利用面临着严峻的挑战。为方便禽畜废弃物资源化利用，促进产业可持续发展，本研究将PESTEL和FCM（模糊认知图）方法相结合，建立混合模型分析各因素对系统的影响，并利用模糊认知图对系统进行动态推理研究。结果表明，S3的影响程度最大，为6.598，表明S3更容易受到影响。P3的out度最高，为3.5，说明系统P3的因子是动态的，可能对系统产生影响。中心性排名前5位的因素分别是养殖户养殖行为特征（S3）、资源利用成本（EC4）、禽畜废弃物利用便利性（S2）、激励政策（P3）和金融市场工具（EC3），中心性分别为7.852、6.42、6.098、4.051和3.646。这些因素是阻碍禽肉废弃物资源化利用的最突出因素。最后，本研究提出了促进家禽废弃物资源化利用的相关政策建议。

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来源期刊

International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology 环境科学-环境科学

CiteScore

5.60

自引率

6.50%

发文量

806

审稿时长

10.8 months

期刊介绍： International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology (IJEST) is an international scholarly refereed research journal which aims to promote the theory and practice of environmental science and technology, innovation, engineering and management. A broad outline of the journal''s scope includes: peer reviewed original research articles, case and technical reports, reviews and analyses papers, short communications and notes to the editor, in interdisciplinary information on the practice and status of research in environmental science and technology, both natural and man made. The main aspects of research areas include, but are not exclusive to; environmental chemistry and biology, environments pollution control and abatement technology, transport and fate of pollutants in the environment, concentrations and dispersion of wastes in air, water, and soil, point and non-point sources pollution, heavy metals and organic compounds in the environment, atmospheric pollutants and trace gases, solid and hazardous waste management; soil biodegradation and bioremediation of contaminated sites; environmental impact assessment, industrial ecology, ecological and human risk assessment; improved energy management and auditing efficiency and environmental standards and criteria.