{"title":"Sustained social participation and dementia: evidence from a Japanese longitudinal cohort study with a time-varying exposure analysis","authors":"Yusuke Matsuyama , Kokoro Shirai , Jun Aida","doi":"10.1016/j.socscimed.2025.118608","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Social participation is linked to a reduced risk of cognitive impairment and dementia. However, few studies have considered the bidirectional relationship between social participation and cognitive decline over time. We aimed to estimate the effect of sustained social participation on dementia risk reduction among older Japanese adults, accounting for the bias induced by the bidirectional relationship.</div><div>A longitudinal study was conducted using data from the Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study. A baseline survey was administered in 2013, with dementia onset information up to 2022 obtained from the municipality registry (n = 47,698; median follow-up 9.2 years). Additional questionnaire surveys in 2016 and 2019 collected data on social participation and time-varying confounders. The average treatment effect (ATE) of sustained social participation on dementia onset was estimated using doubly robust targeted minimum loss-based estimation.</div><div>Of the participants, 17.2 % got dementia. Participants with baseline social participation had a lower incidence of dementia (14.7 %) compared to those without social participation (17.8 %). Sustained social participation in any group at least once per week from 2013 to 2019 was associated with a 3.2 percentage point increase in dementia-free survival probability (95 % confidence interval, CI: 1.9, 4.5) compared to never participated. Among specific group types, participation in sports groups (ATE = 4.2; 95 % CI: 2.0, 6.4) and hobby groups (ATE = 5.3; 95 % CI: 2.5, 8.0) was significantly associated with increased dementia-free survival probability.</div><div>Sustained social participation was associated with reduced dementia risk among older Japanese adults.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49122,"journal":{"name":"Social Science & Medicine","volume":"385 ","pages":"Article 118608"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0000,"publicationDate":"2025-09-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Social Science & Medicine","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0277953625009396","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Social participation is linked to a reduced risk of cognitive impairment and dementia. However, few studies have considered the bidirectional relationship between social participation and cognitive decline over time. We aimed to estimate the effect of sustained social participation on dementia risk reduction among older Japanese adults, accounting for the bias induced by the bidirectional relationship.
A longitudinal study was conducted using data from the Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study. A baseline survey was administered in 2013, with dementia onset information up to 2022 obtained from the municipality registry (n = 47,698; median follow-up 9.2 years). Additional questionnaire surveys in 2016 and 2019 collected data on social participation and time-varying confounders. The average treatment effect (ATE) of sustained social participation on dementia onset was estimated using doubly robust targeted minimum loss-based estimation.
Of the participants, 17.2 % got dementia. Participants with baseline social participation had a lower incidence of dementia (14.7 %) compared to those without social participation (17.8 %). Sustained social participation in any group at least once per week from 2013 to 2019 was associated with a 3.2 percentage point increase in dementia-free survival probability (95 % confidence interval, CI: 1.9, 4.5) compared to never participated. Among specific group types, participation in sports groups (ATE = 4.2; 95 % CI: 2.0, 6.4) and hobby groups (ATE = 5.3; 95 % CI: 2.5, 8.0) was significantly associated with increased dementia-free survival probability.
Sustained social participation was associated with reduced dementia risk among older Japanese adults.
期刊介绍:
Social Science & Medicine provides an international and interdisciplinary forum for the dissemination of social science research on health. We publish original research articles (both empirical and theoretical), reviews, position papers and commentaries on health issues, to inform current research, policy and practice in all areas of common interest to social scientists, health practitioners, and policy makers. The journal publishes material relevant to any aspect of health from a wide range of social science disciplines (anthropology, economics, epidemiology, geography, policy, psychology, and sociology), and material relevant to the social sciences from any of the professions concerned with physical and mental health, health care, clinical practice, and health policy and organization. We encourage material which is of general interest to an international readership.