{"title":"Dynamic Bone Metabolism and Inflammatory-Immune Markers for Postoperative Outcome Assessment in Thoracolumbar Burst Fractures.","authors":"Guanyou Li","doi":"10.1016/j.wneu.2025.124510","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Postoperative failure after thoracolumbar burst-fracture fixation is difficult to anticipate using imaging alone. We tested whether early inflammatory biomarkers and bone-formation markers improve risk stratification.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Prospective cohort of consecutive adults undergoing fixation for T10-L2 burst fractures with 24-month follow-up. The primary endpoint was treatment failure. Secondary endpoints were ≥10% vertebral height loss and ≥10° kyphosis progression. Biomarkers (C-reactive protein (CRP), interleukin-6 (IL-6), bone-specific alkaline phosphatase, osteocalcin, ESR) were measured serially. Primary analyses used the posterior-only cohort; full-cohort models adjusting for approach served as sensitivity checks. Forced-entry multivariable logistic regression quantified associations; performance was assessed with AUC and calibration. Prespecified sensitivities adjusted for infections ≤3 months and NSAID/steroid exposure near the two-week draw.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Of 196 screened, 174 were analyzed (posterior-only n=138); 50/174 (28.7%) met the primary endpoint. In posterior-only patients, two-week CRP (7.8 vs 4.1 mg/L; p=0.006) and IL-6 (16.8 vs 12.5 pg/mL; p=0.028) were higher in failures. Adjusted models showed TLICS ≥ 5 (OR 2.35, 95% CI 1.02-5.42), CRP ≥ 5 mg/L (OR 2.12, 1.22-3.70), and IL-6 ≥ 7 pg/mL (OR 1.63, 1.01-2.67) predicted failure; AUC = 0.75 (optimism-corrected 0.73) with good calibration. Two-week CRP/IL-6 provided peak discrimination (AUCs 0.73/0.70) and increased a baseline clinical AUC from 0.66 to 0.75. Associations persisted after infection and medication adjustments. Radiographic progression was more frequent in failures and associated with TLICS and, for height loss, CRP.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Two-week CRP and IL-6, combined with TLICS, identify patients at risk of postoperative treatment failure after thoracolumbar burst-fracture fixation and support biomarker-guided surveillance.</p>","PeriodicalId":23906,"journal":{"name":"World neurosurgery","volume":" ","pages":"124510"},"PeriodicalIF":2.1000,"publicationDate":"2025-09-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"World neurosurgery","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wneu.2025.124510","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"CLINICAL NEUROLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background: Postoperative failure after thoracolumbar burst-fracture fixation is difficult to anticipate using imaging alone. We tested whether early inflammatory biomarkers and bone-formation markers improve risk stratification.
Methods: Prospective cohort of consecutive adults undergoing fixation for T10-L2 burst fractures with 24-month follow-up. The primary endpoint was treatment failure. Secondary endpoints were ≥10% vertebral height loss and ≥10° kyphosis progression. Biomarkers (C-reactive protein (CRP), interleukin-6 (IL-6), bone-specific alkaline phosphatase, osteocalcin, ESR) were measured serially. Primary analyses used the posterior-only cohort; full-cohort models adjusting for approach served as sensitivity checks. Forced-entry multivariable logistic regression quantified associations; performance was assessed with AUC and calibration. Prespecified sensitivities adjusted for infections ≤3 months and NSAID/steroid exposure near the two-week draw.
Results: Of 196 screened, 174 were analyzed (posterior-only n=138); 50/174 (28.7%) met the primary endpoint. In posterior-only patients, two-week CRP (7.8 vs 4.1 mg/L; p=0.006) and IL-6 (16.8 vs 12.5 pg/mL; p=0.028) were higher in failures. Adjusted models showed TLICS ≥ 5 (OR 2.35, 95% CI 1.02-5.42), CRP ≥ 5 mg/L (OR 2.12, 1.22-3.70), and IL-6 ≥ 7 pg/mL (OR 1.63, 1.01-2.67) predicted failure; AUC = 0.75 (optimism-corrected 0.73) with good calibration. Two-week CRP/IL-6 provided peak discrimination (AUCs 0.73/0.70) and increased a baseline clinical AUC from 0.66 to 0.75. Associations persisted after infection and medication adjustments. Radiographic progression was more frequent in failures and associated with TLICS and, for height loss, CRP.
Conclusions: Two-week CRP and IL-6, combined with TLICS, identify patients at risk of postoperative treatment failure after thoracolumbar burst-fracture fixation and support biomarker-guided surveillance.
期刊介绍:
World Neurosurgery has an open access mirror journal World Neurosurgery: X, sharing the same aims and scope, editorial team, submission system and rigorous peer review.
The journal''s mission is to:
-To provide a first-class international forum and a 2-way conduit for dialogue that is relevant to neurosurgeons and providers who care for neurosurgery patients. The categories of the exchanged information include clinical and basic science, as well as global information that provide social, political, educational, economic, cultural or societal insights and knowledge that are of significance and relevance to worldwide neurosurgery patient care.
-To act as a primary intellectual catalyst for the stimulation of creativity, the creation of new knowledge, and the enhancement of quality neurosurgical care worldwide.
-To provide a forum for communication that enriches the lives of all neurosurgeons and their colleagues; and, in so doing, enriches the lives of their patients.
Topics to be addressed in World Neurosurgery include: EDUCATION, ECONOMICS, RESEARCH, POLITICS, HISTORY, CULTURE, CLINICAL SCIENCE, LABORATORY SCIENCE, TECHNOLOGY, OPERATIVE TECHNIQUES, CLINICAL IMAGES, VIDEOS