An Integrated Land-Use, Population, and Transport Model for Strategic Regional Planning: From Research to Operational Practice

IF 1.9 4区社会学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy Pub Date : 2025-07-31 DOI:10.1007/s12061-025-09691-1

Svitlana Pyrohova, Bao Hoang Nguyen, Alicia N. Rambaldi, Pia Wohland, Aude Bernard, Scott Lieske, Jonathan Corcoran

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Land-Use and Transport Interaction (LUTI) models have long been regarded as important tools for urban modelling and planning. Despite methodological advances, LUTI models remain underutilised in practice. Practitioners are often reluctant to use complex models that typically demand extensive data requirements, long processing times and call for highly trained and specialised staff. To mitigate these issues and strike a balance between parsimony and comprehensiveness, the current study develops one of the first operational LUTI models in Australia, POPulation and Dwelling Allocation Modelling (POPDAM), achieved via an academic-government collaborative co-design process. POPDAM comprises two integrated modules. The econometric module uses a demand–supply model of dwelling allocation and is grounded in hedonic price and equilibrium theories. The demographic module employs a cohort progression model to produce age-sex scenarios. In contrast to popular micro-level modelling, POPDAM operates at a higher level of spatial granularity allowing simpler implementation but without compromising its practical utility. This meso spatial scale was proven sufficient for policy testing while capturing higher-level economic and demographic trends that may be obscured in individual-based models. This trade-off between simplicity and accuracy yields an optimal computational performance streamlined to mere minutes for scenario execution. Moreover, the co-design project-orientated process bridging academia and government has resulted in a successful implementation of POPDAM alongside an effective transfer of knowledge. The conceptual design of POPDAM provides a level of abstraction that can be easily re-deployed to other situational contexts in Australia and beyond.

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战略性区域规划的土地利用、人口和交通综合模型：从研究到操作实践

土地利用和交通相互作用（LUTI）模型一直被视为城市建模和规划的重要工具。尽管方法上取得了进步，但LUTI模型在实践中仍未得到充分利用。从业者通常不愿意使用复杂的模型，因为这些模型通常需要大量的数据需求、较长的处理时间，并且需要训练有素的专业人员。为了缓解这些问题，并在节俭和全面之间取得平衡，目前的研究开发了澳大利亚第一个可操作的LUTI模型之一，人口和住房分配模型（POPDAM），通过学术与政府合作共同设计过程实现。POPDAM包括两个集成模块。计量经济学模块使用住宅分配的供需模型，并以享乐价格和均衡理论为基础。人口统计模块采用队列进展模型来生成年龄-性别情景。与流行的微观级建模相比，POPDAM在更高的空间粒度级别上运行，允许更简单的实现，但不会损害其实际效用。这种中观空间尺度已被证明足以用于政策测试，同时捕捉到更高层次的经济和人口趋势，而这些趋势可能在基于个人的模型中被掩盖。这种简单性和准确性之间的权衡产生了优化的计算性能，简化到场景执行的几分钟。此外，以共同设计项目为导向的过程将学术界和政府联系起来，导致了POPDAM的成功实施以及知识的有效转移。POPDAM的概念设计提供了一个抽象层次，可以很容易地重新部署到澳大利亚和其他地方的其他情景环境中。

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来源期刊

Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy Multiple-

CiteScore

3.80

自引率

5.30%

发文量

期刊介绍： Description The journal has an applied focus: it actively promotes the importance of geographical research in real world settings It is policy-relevant: it seeks both a readership and contributions from practitioners as well as academics The substantive foundation is spatial analysis: the use of quantitative techniques to identify patterns and processes within geographic environments The combination of these points, which are fully reflected in the naming of the journal, establishes a unique position in the marketplace. RationaleA geographical perspective has always been crucial to the understanding of the social and physical organisation of the world around us. The techniques of spatial analysis provide a powerful means for the assembly and interpretation of evidence, and thus to address critical questions about issues such as crime and deprivation, immigration and demographic restructuring, retailing activity and employment change, resource management and environmental improvement. Many of these issues are equally important to academic research as they are to policy makers and Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy aims to close the gap between these two perspectives by providing a forum for discussion of applied research in a range of different contexts Topical and interdisciplinaryIncreasingly government organisations, administrative agencies and private businesses are requiring research to support their ‘evidence-based’ strategies or policies. Geographical location is critical in much of this work which extends across a wide range of disciplines including demography, actuarial sciences, statistics, public sector planning, business planning, economics, epidemiology, sociology, social policy, health research, environmental management. FocusApplied Spatial Analysis and Policy will draw on applied research from diverse problem domains, such as transport, policing, education, health, environment and leisure, in different international contexts. The journal will therefore provide insights into the variations in phenomena that exist across space, it will provide evidence for comparative policy analysis between domains and between locations, and stimulate ideas about the translation of spatial analysis methods and techniques across varied policy contexts. It is essential to know how to measure, monitor and understand spatial distributions, many of which have implications for those with responsibility to plan and enhance the society and the environment in which we all exist. Readership and Editorial BoardAs a journal focused on applications of methods of spatial analysis, Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy will be of interest to scholars and students in a wide range of academic fields, to practitioners in government and administrative agencies and to consultants in private sector organisations. The Editorial Board reflects the international and multidisciplinary nature of the journal.