Kim Thomas, Paul Spin, Nikita Sir, Kevin Hou, Nicholas J Ashton, Henrik Zetterberg, Sonya Miller, Carol Pringle, Richard Stefanacci, Claude M Wischik, Serge Gauthier
{"title":"Neurofilament light (NfL) chain levels predict clinical decline in Alzheimer's disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis.","authors":"Kim Thomas, Paul Spin, Nikita Sir, Kevin Hou, Nicholas J Ashton, Henrik Zetterberg, Sonya Miller, Carol Pringle, Richard Stefanacci, Claude M Wischik, Serge Gauthier","doi":"10.1177/25424823251379878","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Regulatory approval of new investigational Alzheimer's disease (AD) therapies could be accelerated if reasonably likely surrogate endpoints could be used. Neurofilament light chain (NfL) has potential utility as a prognostic biomarker of neurodegeneration in AD.</p><p><strong>Objective: </strong>To synthesize available evidence on the relationship between baseline NfL levels and longitudinal clinical decline.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A systematic literature review identified 19 eligible studies, contributing 37 longitudinal statistical models evaluating the association between baseline NfL (plasma or cerebrospinal fluid [CSF]) with subsequent clinical decline based on validated clinical scales including Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE), Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale-Cognitive Subscale, and Clinical Dementia Rating. Results were pooled via meta-analysis, using partial correlation coefficients (PCC), separately for patient sub-groups (mild cognitive impairment, AD or combined).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Across the AD continuum, higher baseline NfL levels were consistently associated with greater cognitive and global clinical decline in most analyses. This pattern was consistent for both plasma (pooled PCC = -0.17 [95% CI = -0.22, -0.12] for MMSE, any AD population) and CSF NfL (pooled PCC = -0.14 [95% CI = -0.24, -0.04] for MMSE, any AD population). The strength of association across multiple clinical endpoints and populations, measured by absolute value of pooled PCC, ranged from 0.13 to 0.25.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The results support the utility of NfL as a predictive biomarker for progression of clinical decline in AD patients.</p>","PeriodicalId":73594,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Alzheimer's disease reports","volume":"9 ","pages":"25424823251379878"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8000,"publicationDate":"2025-09-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12457754/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Alzheimer's disease reports","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1177/25424823251379878","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2025/1/1 0:00:00","PubModel":"eCollection","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"NEUROSCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background: Regulatory approval of new investigational Alzheimer's disease (AD) therapies could be accelerated if reasonably likely surrogate endpoints could be used. Neurofilament light chain (NfL) has potential utility as a prognostic biomarker of neurodegeneration in AD.
Objective: To synthesize available evidence on the relationship between baseline NfL levels and longitudinal clinical decline.
Methods: A systematic literature review identified 19 eligible studies, contributing 37 longitudinal statistical models evaluating the association between baseline NfL (plasma or cerebrospinal fluid [CSF]) with subsequent clinical decline based on validated clinical scales including Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE), Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale-Cognitive Subscale, and Clinical Dementia Rating. Results were pooled via meta-analysis, using partial correlation coefficients (PCC), separately for patient sub-groups (mild cognitive impairment, AD or combined).
Results: Across the AD continuum, higher baseline NfL levels were consistently associated with greater cognitive and global clinical decline in most analyses. This pattern was consistent for both plasma (pooled PCC = -0.17 [95% CI = -0.22, -0.12] for MMSE, any AD population) and CSF NfL (pooled PCC = -0.14 [95% CI = -0.24, -0.04] for MMSE, any AD population). The strength of association across multiple clinical endpoints and populations, measured by absolute value of pooled PCC, ranged from 0.13 to 0.25.
Conclusions: The results support the utility of NfL as a predictive biomarker for progression of clinical decline in AD patients.