From Emergency to Strategy: Human Security Priorities After the Kahramanmaraş Earthquakes Using Hesitant Fuzzy AHP.

Abstract

Due to periodic shifts in human security needs post-disaster, recovery processes remain dynamic. However, no comprehensive study in the literature addresses periodic differences in human security dimensions. This research is the first to examine post-disaster human security dimensions with a holistic and systematic approach, and it fills a critical gap in this area. In the study, the Hesitant Fuzzy AHP (HFAHP) method was applied based on decision makers' (DMs) assessments with strategic planning authority during the February 6 Kahramanmaraş/Türkiye earthquakes. Findings highlight short-term priorities in environmental and health security, while economic security emerges as a key long-term determinant. In addition, it has been determined that political and community security dimensions gain more importance in the long term. The study also finds that failure to address these shifting priorities may pose significant risks: In the short term, unmet environmental and health needs can lead to public health crises and hinder immediate response efforts; in the long term, neglecting economic, political, and community security can jeopardize recovery, increase inequality, and undermine resilience. This study provides a new framework that guides the strategic prioritization process for disaster management and human security policies based on the experience of the disaster. The findings guide policymakers to ensure sustainable human security by improving post-disaster resource allocation and management.