Method: open-source economic tool for dairy farmers planning extended cow-calf contact

A.H. Stygar , M. Mughal , L. Frondelius , M. Pastell
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Abstract

Extended cow-calf contact (CCC) is gaining popularity among European dairy farmers. Any change in farm management strategy should be preceded by economic considerations and an accurate assessment of the costs and benefits of the new management strategy. In this study, we have developed an economic tool for farmers planning extended cow-calf contact. The tool allows producers to calculate the costs and benefits of the new practice (CCC lasting from 1 to 3 months) and compare it with the current operation (conventional system with a maximum of 1 day of cow-calf contact). The tool has been developed using the free and open source R package Shiny and is accessible from the following link: https://cowcalfeconomictool.github.io/. The CowCalfEconomicTool consists of two tabs: calculator and user guide. The calculator tab has 7 distinct frames: language selection, housing, herd size, operational costs and revenues, milk production, calf parameters in the current system and expected CCC effect. Additionally, the calculator tab has one output frame which is dedicated to presenting an interactive cost-benefit table, a Gauge cost-benefit chart, net present value and a cost-benefit ratio. Finally, the user can download all input and output data. To test the economic model behaviour and determine which parameter has the biggest impact on the economic result, sensitivity analyses were conducted. Tool verification was performed with a group of experts. The source code for the tool as well as baseline variables and results of sensitivity analysis are available from the GitHub repository: https://github.com/CowCalfEconomicTool/CowCalfApp.
Sensitivity analyses indicated that building costs together with additional milk price premium for improved welfare were the most critical factors affecting the net present value of CCC operations. The user is encouraged to use the tool as a simulator by adjusting production variables accordingly. CowCalfEconomicTool is still in early stages of the development. As CCC research progresses, the default values should be adjusted and new fields could be added in the calculations. The tool assists farmers to make informed decisions on whether and how to adopt CCC, but the results of the analyses have to be used with caution. The final decision should be made after careful consideration and consultation with relevant experts (e.g. farm advisors, barn planning companies, veterinarians).
方法:为计划扩大奶牛与小牛接触的奶农提供开源经济工具
长时间接触母牛(CCC)在欧洲奶农中越来越受欢迎。在改变农场管理战略之前,应先考虑经济因素,并对新管理战略的成本和效益进行准确评估。在这项研究中,我们开发了一种经济工具,供农民计划扩大牛与小牛的接触。该工具允许生产者计算新做法(持续1至3个月的CCC)的成本和效益,并将其与当前操作(传统系统,最多1天的牛-小牛接触)进行比较。该工具是使用免费的开源R包Shiny开发的,可以从以下链接访问:https://cowcalfeconomictool.github.io/。CowCalfEconomicTool包含两个选项卡:计算器和用户指南。计算器标签有7个不同的框架:语言选择、住房、畜群规模、运营成本和收入、产奶量、当前系统中的小牛参数和预期的CCC效果。此外,计算器选项卡有一个输出框架,用于显示交互式成本效益表、Gauge成本效益图表、净现值和成本效益比。最后,用户可以下载所有输入和输出数据。为了检验经济模型的行为,确定哪个参数对经济结果的影响最大,进行了敏感性分析。由一组专家进行工具验证。该工具的源代码以及基线变量和敏感性分析的结果可从GitHub存储库获得:https://github.com/CowCalfEconomicTool/CowCalfApp.Sensitivity分析表明,建筑成本以及为改善福利而增加的牛奶价格溢价是影响CCC运营净现值的最关键因素。鼓励用户通过相应地调整生产变量来使用该工具作为模拟器。CowCalfEconomicTool仍处于开发的早期阶段。随着CCC研究的深入,需要调整默认值,并在计算中增加新的字段。该工具帮助农民就是否以及如何采用CCC做出明智的决定,但必须谨慎使用分析结果。最终决定应在仔细考虑并咨询相关专家(如农场顾问、畜棚规划公司、兽医)后做出。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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