A growing threat of multi-hazard cascades highlighted by the Birch Glacier collapse and Blatten landslide in the Swiss Alps

Geology Today Pub Date : 2025-09-18 DOI:10.1111/gto.12526
Nazimul Islam, Jonathan L. Carrivick, Tom Coulthard, Matthew Westoby, Stuart Dunning, Saskia Gindraux
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Abstract

Rapid atmospheric warming, especially at high altitude, leads to alpine mountain landscapes becoming more vulnerable to mass movements and consequently unstable. For example, decay of mountain permafrost contributes to rockfalls, landslides and debris flows; glaciers are retreating and losing mass at alarming rates, exposing unstable slopes that are more likely to fail; and meltwater, which collects in a growing number of glacial lakes, can pose an outburst flood hazard, putting communities and infrastructure downstream at risk of damage. Occurring now with increasing frequency, these natural phenomena often combine to create complex multi-hazard cascades that are more powerful and have a greater reach down-valley than a singular isolated event. Combined with increasing population and infrastructure and economic activity in high mountains, there is therefore increased vulnerability of society to natural hazards in high alpine mountains, as has been experienced in the Swiss Alps in 2025, with the collapse of the Birch Glacier and the destruction of the alpine village of Blatten. Here, we review the physical processes of this recent event, their impact on environment, people and economy, and consider what can be learned from them.

Abstract Image

多灾害级联的威胁日益严重,其中最突出的是桦树冰川崩塌和瑞士阿尔卑斯山的布拉滕滑坡
大气迅速变暖,特别是在高海拔地区,导致高山景观更容易受到群众运动的影响,从而变得不稳定。例如,山区永久冻土的腐烂会导致落石、滑坡和泥石流;冰川正在以惊人的速度退缩和失去质量,暴露出更有可能崩溃的不稳定斜坡;融水聚集在越来越多的冰川湖中,可能造成洪水爆发的危险,使下游的社区和基础设施面临破坏的风险。这些自然现象现在发生的频率越来越高,往往结合起来形成复杂的多灾害级联,比单一的孤立事件更强大,影响范围更广。随着高山地区人口、基础设施和经济活动的增加,高山地区的社会对自然灾害的脆弱性也随之增加,正如2025年瑞士阿尔卑斯山所经历的那样,白桦冰川(Birch Glacier)崩塌,阿尔卑斯村庄布拉滕(Blatten)被毁。在这里,我们回顾了最近这一事件的物理过程,它们对环境、人民和经济的影响,并考虑可以从中吸取什么教训。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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