Landslide Risk Assessment in a Century-Old Tea Plantation Range Following Monsoonal Extremes in the Western Ghats of Kerala, India

K. Amal George, P. S. Sunil, A. U. Anish, K. M. Sreejith, Girish Gopinath, A. A. Mohamed Hatha
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Abstract

Landslides pose a significant threat in the Kannan Devan Hill (KDH) region of the Western Ghats (WG) in Peninsular India, particularly during the monsoon season. This study seeks to explore the various factors contributing to landslides, beyond the primary trigger of heavy rainfall. In alignment with the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (UN-SDGs), which emphasize sustainable cities, climate action, and disaster risk reduction, we employed the Frequency Ratio (FR) method on Geographic Information System (GIS) platform to evaluate the influence of geological characteristics, terrain morphology, and human activities on landslide occurrences. As a result of this analysis, we developed a Landslide Susceptibility Zonation (LSZ) map for the KDH region. The map classifies the area into three risk categories: low-risk (20.96%), moderate-risk (46.40%), and high-risk (32.64%). These classifications reflect the combined effects of various contributing factors, with heavy rainfall and increased surface runoff identified as key drivers of landslide events. A focused analysis of the catastrophic Pettimudi Landslide (Idukki district, Kerala, dated 28.08.2020 Map No: 20202/03, NRSC/ISRO, Hyderabad, 2020), further demonstrated the complex interplay between climatic, geological, geomorphological, and anthropogenic factors in triggering such disasters. The study underscores the critical need for integrated preventive measures to mitigate future landslide risks, thereby enhancing the resilience and sustainability of vulnerable regions in accordance with global development objectives.

印度喀拉拉邦西高止山脉季风极端后百年茶园滑坡风险评估
山体滑坡对印度半岛西高止山脉(WG)的KDH地区构成重大威胁,特别是在季风季节。本研究旨在探讨导致滑坡的各种因素,而不是大雨的主要触发因素。根据强调可持续城市、气候行动和减少灾害风险的联合国可持续发展目标(UN-SDGs),我们在地理信息系统(GIS)平台上采用频率比(FR)方法来评估地质特征、地形形态和人类活动对滑坡发生的影响。根据这一分析,我们为KDH地区开发了滑坡易感性分区(LSZ)地图。该地图将该地区分为三个风险类别:低风险(20.96%)、中风险(46.40%)和高风险(32.64%)。这些分类反映了各种因素的综合影响,强降雨和地表径流增加被认为是滑坡事件的主要驱动因素。对灾难性的Pettimudi滑坡(喀拉拉邦Idukki地区,日期为2020年8月28日,地图编号:20202/03,NRSC/ISRO,海德拉巴,2020)的重点分析进一步证明了引发此类灾害的气候、地质、地貌和人为因素之间复杂的相互作用。该研究强调,迫切需要采取综合预防措施,以减轻未来的滑坡风险,从而根据全球发展目标提高脆弱地区的复原力和可持续性。
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