ECG-based identification of COPD patients at risk for atrial fibrillation and its impact on adverse clinical outcomes-a subgroup analysis of the prospective multicenter COSYCONET cohort.
Martin Eichenlaub, Björn Christian Frye, Heiko Lehrmann, Frank Biertz, Amir Sherwan Jadidi, Klaus Kaier, Thomas Melzer, Peter Alter, Henrik Watz, Benjamin Waschki, Barbara Christine Weckler, Franziska Christina Trudzinski, Julia Dorothea Michels-Zetsche, Frederik Trinkmann, Felix Josef-Friedrich Herth, Hans-Ulrich Kauczor, Kathrin Kahnert, Rudolf Jörres, Robert Bals, Dirk Westermann, Thomas Arentz, Claus Franz Vogelmeier, Daiana Stolz, Sebastian Fähndrich
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) frequently occurs in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and is associated with adverse clinical outcomes. We aimed to identify patients at risk for AF using amplified p-wave duration (APWD) analysis on electrocardiogram (ECG) as non-invasive tool to diagnose an atrial cardiomyopathy (AtCM) which is an established risk factor for AF.
Methods: This subgroup analysis of the prospective COSYCONET cohort included 2,385 COPD patients from 31 study centers with baseline sinus rhythm ECG and at least one follow-up examination. Of these, 73 patients showed AF during follow-up and were propensity-score matched to controls. APWD was measured at baseline and future major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) and health related outcome were assessed.
Results: 219 COPD patients (70 [64-74] years, 79.5% male) were analyzed during a follow-up of 586 (210-1137) days. APWD was significantly longer in patients with AF occurrence compared to controls (132 [125-141] ms vs. 124 [117-133] ms, p < 0.001) and remained significant in multivariate regression analysis (OR: 1.05 [1.01-1.09], p = 0.03). An APWD ≥ 131 ms was identified as best cut-off for AF prediction (62% sensitivity, 70% specificity, OR: 3.91 [2.58 to 5.95], p < 0.001). Patients with AF had a significantly higher MACCE rate (24.7% versus 8.2%, p = 0.001) and a significantly lower physical activity score (1,074 [264-4,776] vs. 2,706 [975-7,339], p = 0.008).
Conclusions: This study demonstrates that ECG-based AtCM diagnosis identifies COPD patients at risk for AF, which was associated with a substantially elevated MACCE rate and a significantly reduced physical activity. This easy, cost-effective and widely available digital biomarker might enable early therapy initiation and prevention of adverse clinical outcomes.
Trial registration: NCT01245933 on Clinical-Trials.gov (Registration date: 22.11.2010).
期刊介绍:
Respiratory Research publishes high-quality clinical and basic research, review and commentary articles on all aspects of respiratory medicine and related diseases.
As the leading fully open access journal in the field, Respiratory Research provides an essential resource for pulmonologists, allergists, immunologists and other physicians, researchers, healthcare workers and medical students with worldwide dissemination of articles resulting in high visibility and generating international discussion.
Topics of specific interest include asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, cystic fibrosis, genetics, infectious diseases, interstitial lung diseases, lung development, lung tumors, occupational and environmental factors, pulmonary circulation, pulmonary pharmacology and therapeutics, respiratory immunology, respiratory physiology, and sleep-related respiratory problems.