Internal uncertainty impacts social information use in risky choice across adolescence.

Simon Ciranka, Wouter van den Bos
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Abstract

Adolescents are often thought to be more susceptible to social influence than people in other age groups. This is often explained by altered reward processing or heightened social motivations, such as a need to belong to a group during adolescence. However, uncertainty also makes people more susceptible to social information. While researchers agree that adolescence is a time of great uncertainty, the role of uncertainty in explaining susceptibility to social influence across development remains unclear. Here, we asked 166 participants aged 10-26 to make 144 risky decisions in a lottery experiment, either with or without observing social information and nested within conditions of low and high uncertainty. Modelling susceptibility to social influence as Bayesian updating suggests that despite the same levels of uncertainty between participants, their own internal uncertainty about the utility of choices underwent a negative linear age trend, contributing to age-related differences in susceptibility to social influence across adolescence. Our results suggest that the adolescent development of peer influence is at least in part driven by age differences in the internal uncertainty about how to decide.

内部不确定性影响青少年风险选择中的社会信息使用。
青少年通常被认为比其他年龄组的人更容易受到社会影响。这通常可以用奖励处理过程的改变或社会动机的增强来解释,比如青春期需要属于一个群体。然而,不确定性也使人们更容易受到社会信息的影响。虽然研究人员一致认为青春期是一个充满不确定性的时期,但不确定性在解释整个发展过程中对社会影响的易感性方面所起的作用仍不清楚。在这里,我们要求166名10-26岁的参与者在一个彩票实验中做出144个冒险的决定,要么观察社会信息,要么不观察社会信息,并在低不确定性和高不确定性的条件下进行设置。对社会影响敏感性的贝叶斯更新模型表明,尽管参与者之间的不确定性水平相同,但他们自己对选择效用的内在不确定性经历了负线性年龄趋势,这导致了青春期对社会影响敏感性的年龄相关差异。我们的研究结果表明,青少年同伴影响的发展至少部分是由如何决定的内部不确定性的年龄差异驱动的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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