Do People Believe They Are Less Predictable Than Others? Three Replications of Pronin and Kugler's (2010) Experiment 1.

IF 1.6 4区心理学 Q3 PSYCHOLOGY, SOCIAL

International Review of Social Psychology Pub Date : 2024-12-06 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI:10.5334/irsp.946

Subramanya Prasad Chandrashekar, Stephanie Permut, Hallgeir Sjåstad, Chelsea Chi Wing Lo, Yong Jun Kueh, Emily Sihui Zhong, Kai Hin Wan, Kai Yi Kelly Choy, Man Chung Wong, Stanley Wei Jian Hugh, Khan Tahira, Bo Ley Cheng, Gilad Feldman

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Abstract

Pronin and Kugler (2010) proposed that people believe they have more free will than others. In their Experiment 1 they showed that US students evaluated their own decisions and life events as less predictable than similar decisions and life events of close others, presumably suggesting higher free will attributions. We conducted three pre-registered replications of this study, one with a Hong Kong undergraduate sample (N = 47) and two online samples from the USA (MTurk using CloudResearch: N = 126, Prolific: N = 858) (overall N = 1031). In Studies 1a and 1b that mirrored the target article's mixed design (self-other between, past-future within), we found support for the original findings with weaker effects. In Study 2 we contrasted between-subject versus within-subject designs in a single data collection. We successfully replicated the effects with the between-subject design, whereas we failed to find support for the effect using the within-subjects design. This suggests support for the phenomenon in single evaluation mode assessing either the self or the other, but that people correct for the self-other asymmetry in perceived predictability when the judgment is made in joint evaluations mode. Materials, data, and code are available on: https://osf.io/ykmqp/. Open peer review: https://osf.io/d47kj.

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人们认为自己比别人更难预测吗？Pronin和Kugler（2010）实验的三个重复

Pronin和Kugler（2010）提出，人们相信自己比别人有更多的自由意志。在他们的实验1中，他们表明，美国学生对自己的决定和生活事件的评估比亲密他人的类似决定和生活事件更不可预测，这大概表明了更高的自由意志归因。我们对该研究进行了三次预注册重复，其中一项是香港本科生样本（N = 47），另两项是来自美国的在线样本（MTurk使用CloudResearch: N = 126，高产：N = 858）（总N = 1031）。在研究1a和1b中，反映了目标文章的混合设计（自我-他者之间，过去-未来内部），我们发现了对原始研究结果的支持，但效果较弱。在研究2中，我们在单个数据收集中对比了受试者与受试者内设计。我们成功地复制了受试者间设计的效果，而我们未能找到支持使用受试者内设计的效果。这表明，在单一评价模式下对自我或他人进行评价的现象得到了支持，但在联合评价模式下，人们纠正了感知可预测性中的自我-他人不对称。材料、数据和代码可在https://osf.io/ykmqp/上获得。开放同行评议：https://osf.io/d47kj。

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来源期刊

International Review of Social Psychology PSYCHOLOGY, SOCIAL-

CiteScore

5.20

自引率

8.00%

发文量

审稿时长

16 weeks

期刊介绍： The International Review of Social Psychology (IRSP) is supported by the Association pour la Diffusion de la Recherche Internationale en Psychologie Sociale (A.D.R.I.P.S.). The International Review of Social Psychology publishes empirical research and theoretical notes in all areas of social psychology. Articles are written preferably in English but can also be written in French. The journal was created to reflect research advances in a field where theoretical and fundamental questions inevitably convey social significance and implications. It emphasizes scientific quality of its publications in every area of social psychology. Any kind of research can be considered, as long as the results significantly enhance the understanding of a general social psychological phenomenon and the methodology is appropriate.