Integrating ecological resilience into forest conservation planning to inform spatiotemporal prioritization

IF 4.4 1区环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION

Biological Conservation Pub Date : 2025-09-12 DOI:10.1016/j.biocon.2025.111491

Chuandong Tan , Qichi Yang , Bo Xu , Xiaoqi Li , Xuefei Wu

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Forests, which harbor most terrestrial biodiversity, are increasingly threatened by climate change and chronic anthropogenic disturbances, with profound consequences of regime shifts. Although ecological resilience plays a critical role in sustaining forest persistence, it has not been adequately integrated into conservation planning to guide spatiotemporal priorities. Here, we propose a spatiotemporal prioritization protocol that integrates conservation value, cost, and ecological resilience to identify priority areas and determine the temporal urgency for forest protection, aiming to improve cost-effectiveness and outcomes of biodiversity conservation in dynamic environments. The protocol consists of six steps: (i) selecting and quantifying conservation features; (ii) evaluating conservation cost; (iii) measuring forest resilience using the temporal autocorrelation (TAC) of vegetation anomaly; (iv) assessing resilience trends by calculating the linear trends of TAC using the Theil-Sen slope estimator; (v) identifying spatial priority areas using Zonation by integrating conservation features, cost, and resilience; and (vi) determining temporal urgency for top priority areas based on long-term resilience trends. Using the Core Area of the Wuhan Metropolitan Area (CWMA) as a case study, we identified the top 30 % spatial priority areas, covering 1742.3 km² of persistent forest, within which 803 units (covering 631.2 km²) exhibited significant resilience decline, indicating an urgent need for intervention. Importantly, integrating resilience improves conservation coverage across most species. Our study emphasizes the significance of incorporating habitat resilience into forward-looking biodiversity conservation planning in changing environments and demonstrates the potential of resilience mapping in support this effort by informing spatiotemporal, rather than solely spatial, conservation prioritization.

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将生态恢复力纳入森林保护规划，为时空优先排序提供信息

森林是大多数陆地生物多样性的栖息地，它正日益受到气候变化和长期人为干扰的威胁，并带来深刻的后果。尽管生态恢复力在维持森林持久性方面发挥着关键作用，但它尚未被充分纳入保护规划，以指导时空优先事项。在此基础上，作者提出了一种综合保护价值、成本和生态恢复力的时空优先排序方案，以确定森林保护的优先区域和时间紧迫性，从而提高动态环境下生物多样性保护的成本效益和结果。该方案包括六个步骤：(1)选择和量化保护特征；（ii）评估保育成本；（iii）利用植被异常的时间自相关（TAC）测量森林恢复力；（iv）利用Theil-Sen斜率估计器计算TAC的线性趋势，以评估复原力趋势；(v)综合保育特征、成本和复原力，利用分区法确定空间优先区域；（vi）根据长期恢复力趋势确定最优先领域的时间紧迫性。以武汉都市圈核心区（CWMA）为例，我们确定了前30%的空间优先区域，覆盖面积为1742.3 km2，其中803个单元（覆盖面积为631.2 km2）的恢复力明显下降，表明迫切需要干预。重要的是，整合复原力可以提高大多数物种的保护覆盖率。我们的研究强调了在不断变化的环境中，将栖息地恢复力纳入前瞻性生物多样性保护规划的重要性，并展示了恢复力制图的潜力，通过提供时空（而不仅仅是空间）保护优先级的信息来支持这一努力。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Biological Conservation 环境科学-环境科学

CiteScore

10.20

自引率

3.40%

发文量

295

审稿时长

61 days

期刊介绍： Biological Conservation is an international leading journal in the discipline of conservation biology. The journal publishes articles spanning a diverse range of fields that contribute to the biological, sociological, and economic dimensions of conservation and natural resource management. The primary aim of Biological Conservation is the publication of high-quality papers that advance the science and practice of conservation, or which demonstrate the application of conservation principles for natural resource management and policy. Therefore it will be of interest to a broad international readership.