Duygu İnan, Alev Kılıçgedik, Ayşe İrem Demirtola Mammadli, Arslan Erdoğan, Duygu Genç Albayrak, Funda Özlem Karabulut, Sevil Tuğrul Yavuz, Fatmatuz Zehra Eroğlu, Cemal Ozanalp, Ahmet İlker Tekkeşin, Ömer Genç
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
Objective: Infective endocarditis (IE) is a severe and potentially fatal infection associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Early identification of patients at high risk of adverse outcomes is essential for improving clinical management and prognosis. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of various inflammatory indices, with a particular focus on the peak C-reactive protein/albumin ratio (CAR), in predicting in-hospital mortality among IE patients.
Method: This retrospective, single-center study included IE patients admitted between June 2020 and June 2023. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. For all patients, inflammatory indices, including peak serum CAR levels, were calculated, and their association with mortality was assessed.
Results: Of 165 patients, 62 (37.6%) experienced in-hospital mortality. Non-survivors had significantly higher peak CAR levels (8.1 vs. 5.0, P < 0.001) and elevated levels of other inflammatory indices compared to survivors. Peak CAR demonstrated the highest discriminatory ability for predicting in-hospital mortality, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.764, outperforming other indices. Multivariate analysis confirmed that peak CAR was an independent predictor of mortality (adjusted hazard ratio = 1.16, 95% confidence interval: 1.10-1.23, P < 0.001). Net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement analyses further supported the superior reclassification and discrimination capabilities of peak CAR.
Conclusion: Peak CAR is a significant prognostic marker for in-hospital mortality in IE patients compared to traditional inflammatory indices. Incorporating peak CAR into clinical practice may improve risk stratification and guide treatment decisions.
目的:感染性心内膜炎(IE)是一种严重和潜在致命的感染,具有显著的发病率和死亡率。早期识别高危不良结局患者对于改善临床管理和预后至关重要。本研究旨在评估各种炎症指标的预后价值,特别关注c反应蛋白/白蛋白比(CAR)峰值,以预测IE患者的住院死亡率。方法:这项回顾性、单中心研究纳入了2020年6月至2023年6月住院的IE患者。主要终点是住院死亡率。对所有患者,计算炎症指数,包括峰值血清CAR水平,并评估其与死亡率的关系。结果:165例患者中,62例(37.6%)出现院内死亡。与幸存者相比,非幸存者的峰值CAR水平明显更高(8.1 vs. 5.0, P < 0.001),其他炎症指数水平也明显升高。峰值CAR在预测住院死亡率方面表现出最高的区分能力,曲线下面积(AUC)为0.764,优于其他指标。多因素分析证实CAR峰值是死亡率的独立预测因子(校正风险比= 1.16,95%可信区间:1.10-1.23,P < 0.001)。净重分类改进和综合判别改进分析进一步支持了峰值CAR较强的重分类和判别能力。结论:与传统炎症指标相比,CAR峰值是IE患者住院死亡率的重要预后指标。将CAR峰值纳入临床实践可以改善风险分层和指导治疗决策。