Disentangling temporal trends of clade Ib monkeypox virus transmission in Burundi.

The Journal of Infectious Diseases Pub Date : 2025-09-10 DOI:10.1093/infdis/jiaf475

Shihui Jin,Toshiaki R Asakura,Hiroaki Murayama,Sung-Mok Jung,David Niyukuri,Joseph Nyandwi,Liliane Nkengurutse,Olivier Kamatari,Jue Tao Lim,Akira Endo,Borame L Dickens

引用次数: 0

Abstract

Utilising mpox case data from Burundi between August 2024 and April 2025, we calibrated a mathematical model to quantify the temporal trends of clade Ib monkeypox virus transmission. The model outputs indicated a declining overall transmission trend. Children aged 0-4 and 5-9 years were estimated to be at higher risk of infection compared to older age groups, while sexual contact was inferred to contribute up to 50% of the overall transmission.

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解开布隆迪b支猴痘病毒传播的时间趋势。

利用布隆迪2024年8月至2025年4月期间的猴痘病例数据，我们校准了一个数学模型，以量化进化支Ib猴痘病毒传播的时间趋势。模型输出表明总体传输呈下降趋势。据估计，0-4岁和5-9岁儿童的感染风险高于年龄较大的年龄组，而推断性接触占总传播的50%。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

The Journal of Infectious Diseases

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