Reconciling the right to develop with leaving fossil fuels underground in the Global South

IF 5.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Augusto Heras , Crelis F. Rammelt , Joyeeta Gupta
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Abstract

To address climate change, supply-side action and policy are urgently needed for leaving fossil fuels underground. Low- and Middle-Income Countries hold a pivotal role in such a transition due to their significant fossil fuel reserves and their Right to Development. Against this background, this paper asks: What rationales, based on fossil fuel data and the Right to Development, could underpin Global South countries' engagement in or withdrawal from fossil fuel supply? To unpack their development dilemmas and unravel a set of different arguments for different countries, this paper first develops an inventory of Low- and Middle-Income Countries, drawing from data on reserves, production, and infrastructure, to quantitatively assess their material involvement in fossil fuels and to identify potential cases for impactful and just mitigation action. We also estimate potential carbon emissions from burning all reserves in the included Least Developed Countries. These hypothetical per capita emissions are 10.94 % of those emitted by the richest 0.1 % in 2019. Based on this assessment, we then propose a typology of different Right to Development rationales around fossil fuels. We call for more granular analyses of the Global South in supply-side climate policy, to allow for their autonomous development trajectories. This includes a managed and just phase-out of fossil fuels aligned with the 1.5 ºC target, ensuring that the burden of stranded assets and resources falls on those most capable of bearing it.
在发展的权利和把化石燃料留在南方的地下之间进行协调
为了应对气候变化,迫切需要供应方的行动和政策,让化石燃料远离地下。低收入和中等收入国家由于拥有丰富的化石燃料储备和发展权,在这一转型中发挥着关键作用。在此背景下,本文提出了一个问题:基于化石燃料数据和发展权,全球南方国家参与或退出化石燃料供应的理由是什么?为了揭示它们的发展困境,并阐明不同国家的一系列不同论点,本文首先根据储量、产量和基础设施的数据,编制了一份低收入和中等收入国家的清单,以定量评估它们在化石燃料方面的实质性参与,并确定有影响力和公正的缓解行动的潜在案例。我们还估计了最不发达国家燃烧所有储备可能产生的碳排放量。这些假设的人均排放量是2019年最富有的0.1% %排放量的10.94 %。基于这一评估,我们提出了围绕化石燃料的不同发展权理论的类型学。我们呼吁在供给侧气候政策中对全球南方进行更细致的分析,以允许它们自主发展轨迹。这包括与1.5ºC目标保持一致,有管理地、公正地逐步淘汰化石燃料,确保搁浅资产和资源的负担落在最有能力承担的人身上。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Environmental Science & Policy
Environmental Science & Policy 环境科学-环境科学
CiteScore
10.90
自引率
8.30%
发文量
332
审稿时长
68 days
期刊介绍: Environmental Science & Policy promotes communication among government, business and industry, academia, and non-governmental organisations who are instrumental in the solution of environmental problems. It also seeks to advance interdisciplinary research of policy relevance on environmental issues such as climate change, biodiversity, environmental pollution and wastes, renewable and non-renewable natural resources, sustainability, and the interactions among these issues. The journal emphasises the linkages between these environmental issues and social and economic issues such as production, transport, consumption, growth, demographic changes, well-being, and health. However, the subject coverage will not be restricted to these issues and the introduction of new dimensions will be encouraged.
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