Reza Javid, Mats Isaksson, Robert Finck, Christopher L Rääf
{"title":"Economic aspects of evacuation and resettlement after a radioactive fallout in Sweden.","authors":"Reza Javid, Mats Isaksson, Robert Finck, Christopher L Rääf","doi":"10.1093/rpd/ncaf034","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>High energy prices recently have moved nuclear power back into the limelight. The biggest risk of nuclear industry has been large-scale accidents that give rise to ground deposition of long-lived fission products such as 137Cs, notably Chernobyl in 1986 (Ukraine) and Fukushima in 2011 (Japan). In Japan, extensive land remediation of residential areas was carried out at an estimated direct cost between 16 and 41 billion Euros. We have studied a hypothetical radioactive fallout scenario in Sweden and then applied a cost-benefit analysis on remediation of urban land and resettlement of evacuees. Direct costs for remediation of amounts to ⁓100 million Euro/km2 (2020 price levels). For an average city in Sweden the costs related to evacuation and decontamination greatly exceed the potential monetary benefits from averting radiation induced cancers. Thus, based solely on financial factors, it is concluded that an exhaustive evacuation and resettlement is not monetary cost-effective.</p>","PeriodicalId":20795,"journal":{"name":"Radiation protection dosimetry","volume":"201 13-14","pages":"911-918"},"PeriodicalIF":0.7000,"publicationDate":"2025-08-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12392912/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Radiation protection dosimetry","FirstCategoryId":"93","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1093/rpd/ncaf034","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
High energy prices recently have moved nuclear power back into the limelight. The biggest risk of nuclear industry has been large-scale accidents that give rise to ground deposition of long-lived fission products such as 137Cs, notably Chernobyl in 1986 (Ukraine) and Fukushima in 2011 (Japan). In Japan, extensive land remediation of residential areas was carried out at an estimated direct cost between 16 and 41 billion Euros. We have studied a hypothetical radioactive fallout scenario in Sweden and then applied a cost-benefit analysis on remediation of urban land and resettlement of evacuees. Direct costs for remediation of amounts to ⁓100 million Euro/km2 (2020 price levels). For an average city in Sweden the costs related to evacuation and decontamination greatly exceed the potential monetary benefits from averting radiation induced cancers. Thus, based solely on financial factors, it is concluded that an exhaustive evacuation and resettlement is not monetary cost-effective.
期刊介绍：
Radiation Protection Dosimetry covers all aspects of personal and environmental dosimetry and monitoring, for both ionising and non-ionising radiations. This includes biological aspects, physical concepts, biophysical dosimetry, external and internal personal dosimetry and monitoring, environmental and workplace monitoring, accident dosimetry, and dosimetry related to the protection of patients. Particular emphasis is placed on papers covering the fundamentals of dosimetry; units, radiation quantities and conversion factors. Papers covering archaeological dating are included only if the fundamental measurement method or technique, such as thermoluminescence, has direct application to personal dosimetry measurements. Papers covering the dosimetric aspects of radon or other naturally occurring radioactive materials and low level radiation are included. Animal experiments and ecological sample measurements are not included unless there is a significant relevant content reason.
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