Modeling Case Burden and Duration of Sudan Ebola Virus Disease Outbreak in Uganda, 2022.

IF 6.6 2区医学 Q1 IMMUNOLOGY

Emerging Infectious Diseases Pub Date : 2025-09-01 DOI:10.3201/eid3109.241545

Donal Bisanzio, Henry Kyobe Bosa, Barnabas Bakamutumaho, Carolyne Nasimiyu, Diana Atwine, Daniel Kyabayinze, Charles Olaro, Robert F Breiman, M Kariuki Njenga, Henry Mwebesa, Jane Ruth Aceng, Richard Reithinger

引用次数: 0

Abstract

In 2022, a Sudan Ebola virus outbreak was confirmed in Uganda. Within 1 month of the outbreak's onset, we developed an individual-based modeling platform to estimate the unfolding outbreak's burden of cases and deaths, as well as its duration, using different scenarios. Modeled projections were within the range of observed cases.

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2022年乌干达苏丹埃博拉病毒病暴发的病例负担和持续时间建模

2022年，乌干达确认了苏丹埃博拉病毒爆发。在疫情爆发后的1个月内，我们开发了一个基于个体的建模平台，使用不同的情景来估计正在展开的疫情的病例和死亡负担及其持续时间。模型预测在观察到的病例范围内。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Emerging Infectious Diseases 医学-传染病学

CiteScore

17.30

自引率

1.70%

发文量

505

审稿时长

1 months

期刊介绍： Emerging Infectious Diseases is a monthly open access journal published by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The primary goal of this peer-reviewed journal is to advance the global recognition of both new and reemerging infectious diseases, while also enhancing our understanding of the underlying factors that contribute to disease emergence, prevention, and elimination. Targeted towards professionals in the field of infectious diseases and related sciences, the journal encourages diverse contributions from experts in academic research, industry, clinical practice, public health, as well as specialists in economics, social sciences, and other relevant disciplines. By fostering a collaborative approach, Emerging Infectious Diseases aims to facilitate interdisciplinary dialogue and address the multifaceted challenges posed by infectious diseases.