Global, regional and national uterine fibroid burdens from 1990 to 2021 and projections until 2050: results from the GBD study.

IF 2.7 3区 医学 Q2 OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY
Zihan Zhang, Hongxin Huang, Kuanlie Jiang, Weixia Liu, Yan Xuan, Wei Lu
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Background: Uterine fibroids(UF), while histologically benign, constitute a pervasive yet inequitable epidemiological phenomenon characterized by disproportionately distributed morbidity burdens that correlate asymmetrically with regional development levels, compounded by intersecting socioeconomic determinants and genetic susceptibilities. We aimed to assess the global and regional burden of age-standardized UF in women from 1990 to 2021.

Methods: Age-standardized incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability (YLDs) rates attributable to UF were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2021. Temporal trends were evaluated using the average annual percentage change (AAPC), and future projections were conducted using the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model.

Results: From 1990 to 2021, the global Age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) increased (AAPC = 0.05; 95% CI: 0.03 to 0.08), with the high increases occurring in Brazil, India, and Georgia. The Age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) also increased globally (AAPC = 0.23; 95% CI: 0.19 to 0.27), although it declined in Poland. Age-standardized years lived with disability (YLDs) followed a similar global upward trend (AAPC = 0.09; 95% CI: 0.07 to 0.12) but decreased in some regions, including China, and Australia. The high-middle-SDI regions exhibited declining trends, whereas the low-middle-SDI regions exhibited increasing trends. Our projections suggested stabilization of these indicators by 2050.

Conclusions: UF remain the most common benign gynecological tumors and pose a substantial health care burden. Socioeconomic factors, diagnostic advancements, and lifestyle changes influence the long-term trends associated with their prevalence, incidence, and other related parameters. Increased epidemiological surveillance and more public health interventions are needed.

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1990年至2021年全球、地区和国家子宫肌瘤负担及2050年预测:GBD研究结果
背景:子宫肌瘤(UF)虽然在组织学上是良性的,但却构成了一种普遍但不公平的流行病学现象,其特征是不成比例分布的发病率负担与区域发展水平不对称相关,并与交叉的社会经济决定因素和遗传易感性相结合。我们的目的是评估1990年至2021年女性年龄标准化UF的全球和地区负担。方法:归因于UF的年龄标准化发病率、患病率和残疾生活年数(YLDs)率来自2021年全球疾病负担(GBD)研究。利用平均年变化百分比(AAPC)评估时间趋势,并利用自回归综合移动平均(ARIMA)模型进行未来预测。结果:从1990年到2021年,全球年龄标准化患病率(ASPR)增加(AAPC = 0.05; 95% CI: 0.03 ~ 0.08),其中巴西、印度和格鲁吉亚的增幅最大。年龄标准化发病率(ASIR)在全球范围内也有所增加(AAPC = 0.23; 95% CI: 0.19至0.27),尽管在波兰有所下降。年龄标准化残疾生活年数(YLDs)也有类似的全球上升趋势(AAPC = 0.09; 95% CI: 0.07至0.12),但在包括中国和澳大利亚在内的一些地区有所下降。中高sdi区呈下降趋势,中低sdi区呈上升趋势。我们的预测表明,到2050年这些指标将趋于稳定。结论:UF仍然是最常见的妇科良性肿瘤,造成了巨大的医疗负担。社会经济因素、诊断进步和生活方式改变影响其流行率、发病率和其他相关参数的长期趋势。需要加强流行病学监测并采取更多公共卫生干预措施。
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来源期刊
BMC Women's Health
BMC Women's Health OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY-
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
4.00%
发文量
444
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: BMC Women''s Health is an open access, peer-reviewed journal that considers articles on all aspects of the health and wellbeing of adolescent girls and women, with a particular focus on the physical, mental, and emotional health of women in developed and developing nations. The journal welcomes submissions on women''s public health issues, health behaviours, breast cancer, gynecological diseases, mental health and health promotion.
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