{"title":"Export booms and child health: Pathways of income, nutrition, and maternal care in sub-Saharan Africa","authors":"Pallavi Panda","doi":"10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107266","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper investigates the effects of export expansion on child health across 22 sub-Saharan African countries, using a natural experiment tied to a U.S. trade policy change. While theoretical models suggest links between trade and health, empirical studies focusing on micro-level impacts are scarce. Utilizing individual health data from the Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) and a cohort-level Difference-in-Differences methodology, the study reveals that the policy significantly reduced child wasting and underweight, with no observed effect on child illness. The analysis highlights that increased maternal income—boosted by greater employment opportunities and reduced asset poverty—played a crucial role. We observe higher rates of antenatal care and increased protein-rich food consumption among children. However, results show that oil-exporting countries did not experience similar benefits. These findings emphasize the importance of sectoral context in understanding the impact of export expansions and offer valuable insights for crafting policies to maximize societal welfare.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48419,"journal":{"name":"Economic Modelling","volume":"152 ","pages":"Article 107266"},"PeriodicalIF":4.7000,"publicationDate":"2025-08-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Economic Modelling","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264999325002615","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
This paper investigates the effects of export expansion on child health across 22 sub-Saharan African countries, using a natural experiment tied to a U.S. trade policy change. While theoretical models suggest links between trade and health, empirical studies focusing on micro-level impacts are scarce. Utilizing individual health data from the Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) and a cohort-level Difference-in-Differences methodology, the study reveals that the policy significantly reduced child wasting and underweight, with no observed effect on child illness. The analysis highlights that increased maternal income—boosted by greater employment opportunities and reduced asset poverty—played a crucial role. We observe higher rates of antenatal care and increased protein-rich food consumption among children. However, results show that oil-exporting countries did not experience similar benefits. These findings emphasize the importance of sectoral context in understanding the impact of export expansions and offer valuable insights for crafting policies to maximize societal welfare.
期刊介绍:
Economic Modelling fills a major gap in the economics literature, providing a single source of both theoretical and applied papers on economic modelling. The journal prime objective is to provide an international review of the state-of-the-art in economic modelling. Economic Modelling publishes the complete versions of many large-scale models of industrially advanced economies which have been developed for policy analysis. Examples are the Bank of England Model and the US Federal Reserve Board Model which had hitherto been unpublished. As individual models are revised and updated, the journal publishes subsequent papers dealing with these revisions, so keeping its readers as up to date as possible.