Advancing digital soil mapping with multi-year crop cover data: Impacts on model accuracy and soil interpretation

Abstract

Vegetation cover has a significant influence on soil properties and is commonly used as a covariate in digital soil mapping (DSM). Crop frequency (CrFr) covariates, representing the frequency with which a certain crop or class of crops are grown over multiple years, can be derived from multi-year vegetation data. Such data have the potential to provide promising insights into soil conditions and can enhance predictions of soil properties. Predictive modelling within a DSM framework can improve our understanding of the relationship between crop cover and different soil properties. This study had two main objectives: (1) to develop DSM models for six soil properties—bulk density (BD), organic carbon (OC), A horizon thickness (AT), total nitrogen (TN), pH, and cation exchange capacity (CEC)—both with and without CrFr covariates, and to compare their accuracy metrics; each soil property was modelled independently as a separate response variable; and (2) to investigate the relationships between covariates such as crop types, precipitation, and temperature and soil properties. The study was conducted in the Ottawa, Canada, region, an area with diverse crop cover. From 13 years of Annual Crop Inventory (ACI) raster data, five CrFr covariates were generated and added to other covariates commonly used in DSM, resulting in a total of 54 covariates for model training. Twelve models were developed for the six soil properties, both with and without CrFr covariates. Validation results showed that including CrFr covariates improved the accuracy of models for BD, OC, AT, and TN. However, the impact on models for pH and CEC was minimal, indicating that intrinsic soil factors likely influence these properties more than CrFr. Partial dependence plots indicated that the models captured expected patterns, such as the negative association of forest cover with BD and its positive relationship with OC and TN. In contrast, crops such as legumes and corn exhibit the opposite effects. Forests exhibited a negative relationship with AT, whereas croplands showed a positive association, indicating a likely difference between the Ap horizon and Ah. Uncertainty analysis revealed lower uncertainty in agricultural cropland areas and those with lower elevations. This study highlights the potential of DSM in assessing the impact of crop type on soils and suggesting what crops may be more beneficial for soil.