{"title":"Evolution characteristics of land subsidence in Liaocheng City","authors":"Hao Liang, Tian Yang, Yongwei Zhang, Xueyang Hu, Dejie Yu, Xiao Yang, Chao Jia","doi":"10.1007/s12665-025-12502-y","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Land subsidence not only poses a serious threat to urban construction and the safety of people’s lives and property, but also brings serious damage to urban infrastructure. Therefore, solving the problem of land subsidence is essential to ensure the sustainable development of cities and the quality of life of people. At present, the prediction of the future trend of land subsidence is often limited by a single prediction model or technical means, and its prediction results have certain uncertainties and limitations. Therefore, this paper takes Liaocheng City, Shandong Province as the study area, and uses a variety of methods to study the development status and future development trend of land subsidence in the study area in detail based on the relevant historical and current data of land subsidence and the actual monitoring data. The results show that if the current mining volume is maintained, the maximum regional subsidence will be 1.3 times that of the current ten years. The water level of shallow groundwater has rebounded significantly under the condition of 30% reduction of extraction, and the recovery rate of deep groundwater has also increased to varying degrees, indicating that reducing the exploitation of groundwater is one of the effective measures for the prevention and control of land subsidence. The machine learning model is used to predict the development trend of land subsidence in the study area, and the land subsidence in the study area will show a trend of further development, and the subsidence will develop more rapidly near the subsidence funnel. This study can provide scientific guidance for the prevention and control of regional land subsidence.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":542,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Earth Sciences","volume":"84 17","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.8000,"publicationDate":"2025-08-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Environmental Earth Sciences","FirstCategoryId":"93","ListUrlMain":"https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12665-025-12502-y","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Land subsidence not only poses a serious threat to urban construction and the safety of people’s lives and property, but also brings serious damage to urban infrastructure. Therefore, solving the problem of land subsidence is essential to ensure the sustainable development of cities and the quality of life of people. At present, the prediction of the future trend of land subsidence is often limited by a single prediction model or technical means, and its prediction results have certain uncertainties and limitations. Therefore, this paper takes Liaocheng City, Shandong Province as the study area, and uses a variety of methods to study the development status and future development trend of land subsidence in the study area in detail based on the relevant historical and current data of land subsidence and the actual monitoring data. The results show that if the current mining volume is maintained, the maximum regional subsidence will be 1.3 times that of the current ten years. The water level of shallow groundwater has rebounded significantly under the condition of 30% reduction of extraction, and the recovery rate of deep groundwater has also increased to varying degrees, indicating that reducing the exploitation of groundwater is one of the effective measures for the prevention and control of land subsidence. The machine learning model is used to predict the development trend of land subsidence in the study area, and the land subsidence in the study area will show a trend of further development, and the subsidence will develop more rapidly near the subsidence funnel. This study can provide scientific guidance for the prevention and control of regional land subsidence.
期刊介绍:
Environmental Earth Sciences is an international multidisciplinary journal concerned with all aspects of interaction between humans, natural resources, ecosystems, special climates or unique geographic zones, and the earth:
Water and soil contamination caused by waste management and disposal practices
Environmental problems associated with transportation by land, air, or water
Geological processes that may impact biosystems or humans
Man-made or naturally occurring geological or hydrological hazards
Environmental problems associated with the recovery of materials from the earth
Environmental problems caused by extraction of minerals, coal, and ores, as well as oil and gas, water and alternative energy sources
Environmental impacts of exploration and recultivation – Environmental impacts of hazardous materials
Management of environmental data and information in data banks and information systems
Dissemination of knowledge on techniques, methods, approaches and experiences to improve and remediate the environment
In pursuit of these topics, the geoscientific disciplines are invited to contribute their knowledge and experience. Major disciplines include: hydrogeology, hydrochemistry, geochemistry, geophysics, engineering geology, remediation science, natural resources management, environmental climatology and biota, environmental geography, soil science and geomicrobiology.