Evolution characteristics of land subsidence in Liaocheng City

IF 2.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Hao Liang, Tian Yang, Yongwei Zhang, Xueyang Hu, Dejie Yu, Xiao Yang, Chao Jia
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Land subsidence not only poses a serious threat to urban construction and the safety of people’s lives and property, but also brings serious damage to urban infrastructure. Therefore, solving the problem of land subsidence is essential to ensure the sustainable development of cities and the quality of life of people. At present, the prediction of the future trend of land subsidence is often limited by a single prediction model or technical means, and its prediction results have certain uncertainties and limitations. Therefore, this paper takes Liaocheng City, Shandong Province as the study area, and uses a variety of methods to study the development status and future development trend of land subsidence in the study area in detail based on the relevant historical and current data of land subsidence and the actual monitoring data. The results show that if the current mining volume is maintained, the maximum regional subsidence will be 1.3 times that of the current ten years. The water level of shallow groundwater has rebounded significantly under the condition of 30% reduction of extraction, and the recovery rate of deep groundwater has also increased to varying degrees, indicating that reducing the exploitation of groundwater is one of the effective measures for the prevention and control of land subsidence. The machine learning model is used to predict the development trend of land subsidence in the study area, and the land subsidence in the study area will show a trend of further development, and the subsidence will develop more rapidly near the subsidence funnel. This study can provide scientific guidance for the prevention and control of regional land subsidence.

聊城市地面沉降演化特征
地面沉降不仅对城市建设和人民生命财产安全造成严重威胁,而且对城市基础设施造成严重破坏。因此,解决地面沉降问题对于保证城市的可持续发展和人们的生活质量至关重要。目前,对地面沉降未来趋势的预测往往受到单一预测模型或技术手段的限制,其预测结果具有一定的不确定性和局限性。因此,本文以山东省聊城市为研究区,结合相关的历史、现状地面沉降数据和实际监测数据,运用多种方法对研究区地面沉降的发展现状和未来发展趋势进行了详细的研究。结果表明,如果保持目前的采掘量,最大区域沉陷将是当前10年的1.3倍。在减少开采30%的条件下,浅层地下水水位明显回升,深层地下水回收率也有不同程度的提高,说明减少地下水开采是防治地面沉降的有效措施之一。利用机器学习模型对研究区地表沉降发展趋势进行预测,研究区地表沉降将呈现进一步发展的趋势,沉降漏斗附近地表沉降发展更为迅速。该研究可为区域地面沉降防治提供科学指导。
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来源期刊
Environmental Earth Sciences
Environmental Earth Sciences 环境科学-地球科学综合
CiteScore
5.10
自引率
3.60%
发文量
494
审稿时长
8.3 months
期刊介绍: Environmental Earth Sciences is an international multidisciplinary journal concerned with all aspects of interaction between humans, natural resources, ecosystems, special climates or unique geographic zones, and the earth: Water and soil contamination caused by waste management and disposal practices Environmental problems associated with transportation by land, air, or water Geological processes that may impact biosystems or humans Man-made or naturally occurring geological or hydrological hazards Environmental problems associated with the recovery of materials from the earth Environmental problems caused by extraction of minerals, coal, and ores, as well as oil and gas, water and alternative energy sources Environmental impacts of exploration and recultivation – Environmental impacts of hazardous materials Management of environmental data and information in data banks and information systems Dissemination of knowledge on techniques, methods, approaches and experiences to improve and remediate the environment In pursuit of these topics, the geoscientific disciplines are invited to contribute their knowledge and experience. Major disciplines include: hydrogeology, hydrochemistry, geochemistry, geophysics, engineering geology, remediation science, natural resources management, environmental climatology and biota, environmental geography, soil science and geomicrobiology.
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