Regimes of futurity: Progress, catastrophe, and historicity in the Anthropocene

IF 3.8 3区 管理学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Martin Savransky
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Abstract

The (question of the) future is not what it used to be. In an age of irreversible planetary instability, what was once a source of hope and aspiration, and a problem of anticipation, imagination and the fabrication of alternatives, has become precarious, a source of fear and dread, and a problem of finitude, catastrophe, and adaptation. What becomes of the idea of the future on an earth rendered forever unstable and unsafe? This, the article argues, is the key question of a transdisciplinary futures studies in the Anthropocene. At a time when planetary upheavals throw its guiding idea of “alternative futures” into disarray, the task is not, however, to hang on to the fundamental openness of the future as an article of faith. The task is to reckon with the historical nature of the (open) future in the first place, critically interrogating the future’s (and futures studies’) own historicity and modern conditions of emergence in order to devise ways of attending to emerging and historically shifting relations to the future in the planetary present. Bringing recent debates on the crisis of futurity in futures studies and scholarship on historical futures into a conversation about the shifting historicity of the future in the Anthropocene, this article proffers the notion of “regimes of futurity” as an organising heuristic to reassess the stakes and reimagine the task of a future futures studies.
未来的政权:人类世的进步、灾难和历史性
未来的问题不是过去的问题了。在一个不可逆转的地球不稳定的时代,曾经是希望和抱负的源泉,是期待、想象和制造替代方案的问题,已经变得不稳定,是恐惧和恐惧的来源,是有限、灾难和适应的问题。在一个永远不稳定和不安全的地球上,未来的想法变成了什么?本文认为,这是未来人类世跨学科研究的关键问题。然而,当地球的剧变使其“另类未来”的指导思想陷入混乱时,我们的任务不是把未来的基本开放性作为一种信仰来坚持下去。我们的任务是首先考虑到(开放的)未来的历史本质,批判性地质疑未来(以及未来研究)自身的历史性和现代出现条件,以便设计出在当前地球上关注新兴和历史变化与未来的关系的方法。将最近关于未来研究中的未来危机和历史未来学术的辩论带入到关于人类世未来历史性变化的对话中,本文提供了“未来制度”的概念,作为重新评估风险和重新设想未来未来研究任务的组织启发式。
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来源期刊
Futures
Futures Multiple-
CiteScore
6.00
自引率
10.00%
发文量
124
期刊介绍: Futures is an international, refereed, multidisciplinary journal concerned with medium and long-term futures of cultures and societies, science and technology, economics and politics, environment and the planet and individuals and humanity. Covering methods and practices of futures studies, the journal seeks to examine possible and alternative futures of all human endeavours. Futures seeks to promote divergent and pluralistic visions, ideas and opinions about the future. The editors do not necessarily agree with the views expressed in the pages of Futures
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