Minghao Liu , Bingyan Li , Yanhu Mu , Jing Luo , Fei Yin , Xiangbing Kong
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
The Gonghe-Yushu Expressway (GYE), as the first and only expressway constructed in the degrading permafrost zones of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, is significantly affected by widespread water accumulation near the roadway, primarily due to climate warming and increased precipitation. However, a gap remains in understanding of the impact of water accumulation on progression of permafrost subgrade distress and its triggering mechanisms. This study employed a multi-source methodology integrating manual survey, unmanned aerial vehicle survey and ground-penetrating radar detection to investigate the distress characteristics of permafrost roadway and to quantify their correlations with water ponding along the GYE. A machine learning-based model was established to predict the occurring probability of water-induced distress and to identify the critical factors influencing permafrost distress. The results indicate that more than 60 % of permafrost sections exhibit distress, particularly in warm and ice-rich permafrost areas, where the distress rate can reach up to 60 %. Water ponding is closely correlated with the progression of roadway distress. Approximately 66.1 % of roadway distresses are linked to water ponding, and the severity of these distresses increases as ponding area expands, ponding depth increases, and the distance from slope toe decreases. Furthermore, the model predicts a total distressed section length of 44.95 km, with water-induced distress accounting for 29.81 km (66.3 %). These predictions align closely with field survey results. Additionally, the model indicates that water ponding ranks second only to ice content as a critical factor inducing permafrost roadway distress. Water ponding functions as a persistent heat source, inducing hydrothermal effects on the nearby permafrost foundation and exacerbating uneven thawing, thereby accelerating the settlement progression. This study enhances the understanding of triggering mechanisms of water accumulation on expressway subgrade and provides valuable insights for maintenance of permafrost road infrastructure.
期刊介绍:
Cold Regions Science and Technology is an international journal dealing with the science and technical problems of cold environments in both the polar regions and more temperate locations. It includes fundamental aspects of cryospheric sciences which have applications for cold regions problems as well as engineering topics which relate to the cryosphere.
Emphasis is given to applied science with broad coverage of the physical and mechanical aspects of ice (including glaciers and sea ice), snow and snow avalanches, ice-water systems, ice-bonded soils and permafrost.
Relevant aspects of Earth science, materials science, offshore and river ice engineering are also of primary interest. These include icing of ships and structures as well as trafficability in cold environments. Technological advances for cold regions in research, development, and engineering practice are relevant to the journal. Theoretical papers must include a detailed discussion of the potential application of the theory to address cold regions problems. The journal serves a wide range of specialists, providing a medium for interdisciplinary communication and a convenient source of reference.