[Analysis and prediction of the disease burden of attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder in Chinese children and adolescents from 1990 to 2021].

Q3 Medicine

中国当代儿科杂志 Pub Date : 2025-08-15 DOI:10.7499/j.issn.1008-8830.2411122

Ru Jia, Fei Han

{"title":"[Analysis and prediction of the disease burden of attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder in Chinese children and adolescents from 1990 to 2021].","authors":"Ru Jia, Fei Han","doi":"10.7499/j.issn.1008-8830.2411122","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Objectives: To investigate the disease burden of attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) among children and adolescents in China and to predict future trends, in order to provide evidence for disease control strategies.Methods: Based on data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (GBD 2021), joinpoint regression and prediction models were constructed to analyze and forecast the trends in ADHD burden indicators among Chinese children and adolescents from 1990 to 2021.Results: In 2021, the incidence, prevalence, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rates of ADHD among children and adolescents in China increased by 41.46%, 21.44%, and 21.75%, respectively, compared to 1990. From 1990 to 2021, the disease burden of ADHD showed an overall upward trend across sex and age groups, with a heavier burden among males. The highest incidence was observed in children aged 5-9 years, while the highest prevalence and DALY rates were found in those aged 10-14 years. By 2031, the incidence, prevalence, and DALY rates of ADHD among Chinese children and adolescents are projected to reach 324.88 per 100 000, 3 762.36 per 100 000, and 45.85 per 100 000, respectively.Conclusions: From 1990 to 2021, the incidence, prevalence, and DALY rates of ADHD among children and adolescents in China have all increased, suggesting that more proactive prevention and intervention measures may be needed to alleviate the disease burden of ADHD in this population.","PeriodicalId":39792,"journal":{"name":"中国当代儿科杂志","volume":"27 8","pages":"959-967"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2025-08-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12369530/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"中国当代儿科杂志","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.7499/j.issn.1008-8830.2411122","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"Medicine","Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Abstract

Objectives: To investigate the disease burden of attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) among children and adolescents in China and to predict future trends, in order to provide evidence for disease control strategies.

Methods: Based on data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (GBD 2021), joinpoint regression and prediction models were constructed to analyze and forecast the trends in ADHD burden indicators among Chinese children and adolescents from 1990 to 2021.

Results: In 2021, the incidence, prevalence, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rates of ADHD among children and adolescents in China increased by 41.46%, 21.44%, and 21.75%, respectively, compared to 1990. From 1990 to 2021, the disease burden of ADHD showed an overall upward trend across sex and age groups, with a heavier burden among males. The highest incidence was observed in children aged 5-9 years, while the highest prevalence and DALY rates were found in those aged 10-14 years. By 2031, the incidence, prevalence, and DALY rates of ADHD among Chinese children and adolescents are projected to reach 324.88 per 100 000, 3 762.36 per 100 000, and 45.85 per 100 000, respectively.

Conclusions: From 1990 to 2021, the incidence, prevalence, and DALY rates of ADHD among children and adolescents in China have all increased, suggesting that more proactive prevention and intervention measures may be needed to alleviate the disease burden of ADHD in this population.

查看原文本刊更多论文

[1990 - 2021年中国儿童青少年注意缺陷/多动障碍疾病负担分析与预测]。

目的：调查中国儿童和青少年注意力缺陷多动障碍（ADHD）的疾病负担，并预测其未来趋势，为制定疾病控制策略提供依据。方法：基于全球疾病负担研究2021 （GBD 2021）的数据，构建联合点回归和预测模型，分析和预测1990 - 2021年中国儿童青少年ADHD负担指标的变化趋势。结果：与1990年相比，2021年中国儿童和青少年ADHD的发病率、患病率和残疾调整生命年（DALYs）率分别上升了41.46%、21.44%和21.75%。从1990年到2021年，ADHD疾病负担在各性别和年龄组中总体呈上升趋势，其中男性负担较重。5-9岁儿童发病率最高，10-14岁儿童患病率和DALY率最高。预计到2031年，中国儿童和青少年ADHD的发病率、患病率和DALY分别达到324.88 / 10万、3762.36 / 10万和45.85 / 10万。结论：1990 - 2021年，中国儿童青少年ADHD的发病率、患病率和DALY率均呈上升趋势，需要采取更积极的预防和干预措施来减轻该人群ADHD的疾病负担。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

求助全文

约1分钟内获得全文求助全文

来源期刊

中国当代儿科杂志 Medicine-Pediatrics, Perinatology and Child Health

CiteScore

1.50

自引率

0.00%

发文量

5006

期刊介绍： The Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics (CJCP) is a peer-reviewed open access periodical in the field of pediatrics that is sponsored by the Central South University/Xiangya Hospital of Central South University and under the auspices of the Ministry of Education of China. It is cited as a source in the scientific and technological papers of Chinese journals, the Chinese Science Citation Database (CSCD), and is one of the core Chinese periodicals in the Peking University Library. CJCP has been indexed by MEDLINE/PubMed/PMC of the American National Library, American Chemical Abstracts (CA), Holland Medical Abstracts (EM), Western Pacific Region Index Medicus (WPRIM), Scopus and EBSCO. It is a monthly periodical published on the 15th of every month, and is distributed both at home and overseas. The Chinese series publication number is CN 43-1301/R；ISSN 1008-8830. The tenet of CJCP is to “reflect the latest advances and be open to the world”. The periodical reports the most recent advances in the contemporary pediatric field. The majority of the readership is pediatric doctors and researchers.