Nabil Nowak, Martin G. Mlynczak, Linda Hunt, B. Thomas Marshall, Christopher J. Mertens
{"title":"Energy Conservation in a Cooling and Contracting Thermosphere","authors":"Nabil Nowak, Martin G. Mlynczak, Linda Hunt, B. Thomas Marshall, Christopher J. Mertens","doi":"10.1029/2024JD042513","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>Time series of infrared radiated power by thermospheric nitric oxide (NO) and carbon dioxide (CO<sub>2</sub>), and their total power (NO + CO<sub>2</sub>) (measured by the SABER instrument on the NASA TIMED satellite from 2002 through 2023) have been analyzed for long-term trends. Solar and geomagnetic indices (F<sub>10.7</sub>, Ap, Dst) are used with multiple linear regression to provide trend approximations for the radiated infrared power. There are no statistically significant trends observed for NO and total radiated power, and the trend in CO<sub>2</sub> radiated power is not statistically significant at 2-sigma (95%) confidence level. The thermosphere continues to radiate a constant amount of infrared energy over time after accounting for natural variability, despite more than two decades of cooling due to increasing CO<sub>2</sub>. These results demonstrate energy conservation on decadal timescales and validate the mechanism of thermospheric greenhouse cooling. The long-term radiometric stability of the SABER instrument enables these results.</p>","PeriodicalId":15986,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres","volume":"130 16","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4000,"publicationDate":"2025-08-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2024JD042513","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres","FirstCategoryId":"89","ListUrlMain":"https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2024JD042513","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Time series of infrared radiated power by thermospheric nitric oxide (NO) and carbon dioxide (CO2), and their total power (NO + CO2) (measured by the SABER instrument on the NASA TIMED satellite from 2002 through 2023) have been analyzed for long-term trends. Solar and geomagnetic indices (F10.7, Ap, Dst) are used with multiple linear regression to provide trend approximations for the radiated infrared power. There are no statistically significant trends observed for NO and total radiated power, and the trend in CO2 radiated power is not statistically significant at 2-sigma (95%) confidence level. The thermosphere continues to radiate a constant amount of infrared energy over time after accounting for natural variability, despite more than two decades of cooling due to increasing CO2. These results demonstrate energy conservation on decadal timescales and validate the mechanism of thermospheric greenhouse cooling. The long-term radiometric stability of the SABER instrument enables these results.
期刊介绍:
JGR: Atmospheres publishes articles that advance and improve understanding of atmospheric properties and processes, including the interaction of the atmosphere with other components of the Earth system.