Spatial computable general equilibrium modelling considering passenger and freight transport

IF 6.3 2区工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS

Transport Policy Pub Date : 2025-08-11 DOI:10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103767

Shintaro Katayama , Atsushi Koike

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Linear Chuo Shinkansen is expected to have economic effects on the three metropolitan areas of Japan. Thus, the gap between urban and rural areas is expected to expand. Spatial Computable General Equilibrium (SCGE) models describe the distribution of the effects of infrastructure development. We propose an empirical SCGE model that applies an aggregated logit model to subdivided areas where only value-added data are prepared without an input-output table. However, we develop these models only to improve freight transport. Therefore, this study aims to develop an SCGE model that considers passenger and freight transport and measure the economic impacts of highways and interregional high-speed railroads. We use the value-added from prefectural accounts and input-output tables available in each prefecture. The results show that the total benefit is almost identical to existing trial calculation results. The model proposed in this study makes it possible to calculate the effects of railroad projects, even in subdivided areas where input-output tables have not been prepared.

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考虑客货运输的空间可计算一般均衡模型

中央新干线预计将对日本三大大都市区产生经济影响。因此，城乡之间的差距预计将扩大。空间可计算一般均衡（SCGE）模型描述了基础设施发展效应的分布。我们提出了一个实证SCGE模型，该模型将聚合logit模型应用于细分领域，其中仅准备增值数据而不准备投入产出表。然而，我们开发这些模型只是为了改善货物运输。因此，本研究的目的是建立一个考虑客货运输的SCGE模型，并衡量高速公路和跨区域高速铁路的经济影响。我们使用来自各县账户的增加值和每个县可用的投入产出表。结果表明，总效益与已有的试验计算结果基本一致。本研究提出的模型使计算铁路项目的影响成为可能，即使在没有编制投入产出表的细分地区也是如此。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Transport Policy Multiple-

CiteScore

12.10

自引率

10.30%

发文量

282

期刊介绍： Transport Policy is an international journal aimed at bridging the gap between theory and practice in transport. Its subject areas reflect the concerns of policymakers in government, industry, voluntary organisations and the public at large, providing independent, original and rigorous analysis to understand how policy decisions have been taken, monitor their effects, and suggest how they may be improved. The journal treats the transport sector comprehensively, and in the context of other sectors including energy, housing, industry and planning. All modes are covered: land, sea and air; road and rail; public and private; motorised and non-motorised; passenger and freight.