Climate Change Does Not Directly Influence Red Squirrel ( Sciurus vulgaris ) Distribution in Western Europe.

Abstract

Climate change presents ongoing risks to species like the red squirrel, which, despite its wide range, faces pressures from multiple threats (fragmentation, invasive species, among others). This study assesses the relationship of red squirrel distribution across Western Europe with bioclimatic variables to predict future climate impacts. However, our results suggest that bioclimatic factors have limited predictive power, with no direct impacts identified. Indirect effects, such as the expansion of grey squirrels, may still worsen challenges for red squirrel populations. Addressing these by maintaining habitat quality and connectivity through targeted conservation measures will be crucial for ensuring red squirrel persistence.