Associations of family history of hypertension, genetic, and lifestyle risks with incident hypertension

Abstract

Family history of hypertension may reflect genetic and lifestyle factors. Genetic risk can be assessed using polygenic risk score (PRS); however, whether PRS can stratify hypertension risk when combined with family history and lifestyle information is unclear. This prospective cohort study included 9,001 hypertension-free individuals aged ≥20 years from the Tohoku Medical Megabank Community-Based Cohort Study. Participants were scored on lifestyle factors, including body mass index, urinary sodium-to-potassium ratio, physical activity, alcohol consumption, and smoking at recruitment. During the mean follow-up of 4.3 years, 2822 (31.4%) cases of hypertension occurred. High genetic risk and poor lifestyle were associated with increased hypertension risk. Compared with participants with low genetic risk, ideal lifestyle, and no family history, high genetic risk significantly increased hypertension risk, even among those with ideal lifestyle and no family history (relative risk [RR] 1.28 [95% confidence interval [CI] 1.11–1.46]). Participants with low PRS, ideal lifestyle, but with family history had increased hypertension risk (RR 1.32 [95%CI 1.11–1.57]). Poor lifestyle increased hypertension risk across most genetic risk groups, regardless of family history. Integrating PRS into models with family history and lifestyle risk significantly improved predictive accuracy (area under the curve: 0.671 for family history and lifestyle risk and 0.674 for PRS integrated; P for difference <0.05). Integrating PRS with lifestyle and family history enhances the stratification of individuals at high risk for hypertension.