Long-term energy demand analysis for cooking and baking using alternative scenarios for Ethiopia: Insight for policy makers

IF 4.9 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS
Alemnew Endale, Tegegne Achenef
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

The energy sector in Ethiopia primarily relies on biomass. Biomass fuels are consumed using traditional, inefficient stoves. This has led to massive deforestation, land degradation, climate change, and human health issues. The main objective of this research is to project long-term energy demand for household cooking and baking activities under different scenarios and to estimate the overall energy savings in these scenarios. The study considers three scenarios: the reference scenario, the Improved Cooking and Baking Stoves Scenario (ICS), and the Clean Cooking and Baking Stoves Scenario. The Low Emissions Analysis Platform (LEAP) tool is used to analyze households' long-term energy demand from 2025 to 2050. Comparing the scenarios shows that the ICS reduces the total energy demand of households by 57 % in 2035 and by 55 % in 2050. In the CCS scenario, household total energy demand is further reduced by 20.84 % to 27.69 % over the study period. The results from the model are crucial for policy planners and decision-makers in developing and implementing effective long-run solutions.
埃塞俄比亚烹饪和烘焙用替代方案的长期能源需求分析:决策者的见解
埃塞俄比亚的能源部门主要依靠生物质能。使用传统的、效率低下的炉灶来消耗生物质燃料。这导致了大规模的森林砍伐、土地退化、气候变化和人类健康问题。本研究的主要目的是预测不同情景下家庭烹饪和烘焙活动的长期能源需求,并估计这些情景下的总体能源节约。该研究考虑了三种情景:参考情景、改进烹饪和烘焙炉情景(ICS)以及清洁烹饪和烘焙炉情景。低排放分析平台(LEAP)工具用于分析2025年至2050年家庭的长期能源需求。对比两种方案表明,到2035年,ICS将使家庭总能源需求减少57%,到2050年将减少55%。在CCS情景下,在研究期间,家庭总能源需求进一步降低了20.84%至27.69%。该模型的结果对于政策规划者和决策者制定和实施有效的长期解决方案至关重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Energy for Sustainable Development
Energy for Sustainable Development ENERGY & FUELS-ENERGY & FUELS
CiteScore
8.10
自引率
9.10%
发文量
187
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: Published on behalf of the International Energy Initiative, Energy for Sustainable Development is the journal for decision makers, managers, consultants, policy makers, planners and researchers in both government and non-government organizations. It publishes original research and reviews about energy in developing countries, sustainable development, energy resources, technologies, policies and interactions.
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