{"title":"Long-term energy demand analysis for cooking and baking using alternative scenarios for Ethiopia: Insight for policy makers","authors":"Alemnew Endale, Tegegne Achenef","doi":"10.1016/j.esd.2025.101805","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The energy sector in Ethiopia primarily relies on biomass. Biomass fuels are consumed using traditional, inefficient stoves. This has led to massive deforestation, land degradation, climate change, and human health issues. The main objective of this research is to project long-term energy demand for household cooking and baking activities under different scenarios and to estimate the overall energy savings in these scenarios. The study considers three scenarios: the reference scenario, the Improved Cooking and Baking Stoves Scenario (ICS), and the Clean Cooking and Baking Stoves Scenario. The Low Emissions Analysis Platform (LEAP) tool is used to analyze households' long-term energy demand from 2025 to 2050. Comparing the scenarios shows that the ICS reduces the total energy demand of households by 57 % in 2035 and by 55 % in 2050. In the CCS scenario, household total energy demand is further reduced by 20.84 % to 27.69 % over the study period. The results from the model are crucial for policy planners and decision-makers in developing and implementing effective long-run solutions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49209,"journal":{"name":"Energy for Sustainable Development","volume":"88 ","pages":"Article 101805"},"PeriodicalIF":4.9000,"publicationDate":"2025-08-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Energy for Sustainable Development","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0973082625001553","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ENERGY & FUELS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
The energy sector in Ethiopia primarily relies on biomass. Biomass fuels are consumed using traditional, inefficient stoves. This has led to massive deforestation, land degradation, climate change, and human health issues. The main objective of this research is to project long-term energy demand for household cooking and baking activities under different scenarios and to estimate the overall energy savings in these scenarios. The study considers three scenarios: the reference scenario, the Improved Cooking and Baking Stoves Scenario (ICS), and the Clean Cooking and Baking Stoves Scenario. The Low Emissions Analysis Platform (LEAP) tool is used to analyze households' long-term energy demand from 2025 to 2050. Comparing the scenarios shows that the ICS reduces the total energy demand of households by 57 % in 2035 and by 55 % in 2050. In the CCS scenario, household total energy demand is further reduced by 20.84 % to 27.69 % over the study period. The results from the model are crucial for policy planners and decision-makers in developing and implementing effective long-run solutions.
期刊介绍:
Published on behalf of the International Energy Initiative, Energy for Sustainable Development is the journal for decision makers, managers, consultants, policy makers, planners and researchers in both government and non-government organizations. It publishes original research and reviews about energy in developing countries, sustainable development, energy resources, technologies, policies and interactions.