Mireia Sempere-Tortosa , Ignacio Toledo , Diego Marcos-Jorquera , Virgilio Gilart-Iglesias , Luis Aragonés
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
Accurate data on beach occupancy and its relationship with climatic factors is essential for managing public services and mitigating overcrowding in high-demand tourist destinations. This study focuses on Poniente Beach in Benidorm (Spain), where nearly 5 million beach visits were recorded between July 2023 and June 2024. Using a computer vision system based on YOLOX and ByteTrack algorithms, combined with fixed video cameras, we developed an artificial intelligence–based methodology to detect beach entries and exits and calculate occupancy and stay duration in real time. The resulting data were analyzed using Random Forest models to evaluate the influence of key climatic variables. Our findings indicate that water temperature, Heat Index, and maximum air temperature are the primary drivers of beach use. Peak occupancy exceeded 7000 simultaneous users and occurred when water temperature was above 27.5 °C and the Heat Index ranged between 32 °C and 40 °C, with attendance declining under more extreme heat. Average stay durations reached 2 h in summer but dropped below 30 min in winter. In contrast, wind and precipitation showed limited influence: wind only reduced attendance above 30 km/h, and short rain events (<2 h) minimally affected daily occupancy but decreased average stay. These results demonstrate the feasibility of applying AI and big data analytics to monitor and predict beach usage patterns, enabling adaptive tourism management strategies under evolving climate conditions.
期刊介绍:
Ocean & Coastal Management is the leading international journal dedicated to the study of all aspects of ocean and coastal management from the global to local levels.
We publish rigorously peer-reviewed manuscripts from all disciplines, and inter-/trans-disciplinary and co-designed research, but all submissions must make clear the relevance to management and/or governance issues relevant to the sustainable development and conservation of oceans and coasts.
Comparative studies (from sub-national to trans-national cases, and other management / policy arenas) are encouraged, as are studies that critically assess current management practices and governance approaches. Submissions involving robust analysis, development of theory, and improvement of management practice are especially welcome.