Negative nominal interest rates and monetary policy

IF 4.1 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Journal of Monetary Economics Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-06-28 DOI:10.1016/j.jmoneco.2025.103799
Duhyeong Kim
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

How much can central banks reduce nominal interest rates? Can the lower bound be controlled by monetary policy? If so, should central banks reduce it to implement negative interest rates? I construct a model with multiple means of payment where the costs of holding paper currency effectively reduce its rate of return, creating a negative effective lower bound on interest rates. I find that central banks can reduce this lower bound with a non-par exchange rate between currency and bank reserves, but doing so raises currency-holding costs for individuals, leading to welfare losses. Moreover, implementing a negative rate by reducing the lower bound has no benefits because this policy combination lowers both the rate of return on currency and the interest rate on financial assets, leaving relative interest rates unchanged.
负名义利率与货币政策
央行能将名义利率降低多少?利率下限能被货币政策控制吗?如果是这样,央行是否应该降低利率以实施负利率?我构建了一个包含多种支付手段的模型,在这个模型中,持有纸币的成本有效地降低了它的回报率,从而产生了一个负的有效利率下限。我发现,央行可以通过货币与银行储备之间的非平价汇率来降低这一下限,但这样做会增加个人持有货币的成本,从而导致福利损失。此外,通过降低利率下限来实施负利率没有任何好处,因为这种政策组合会降低货币回报率和金融资产利率,使相对利率保持不变。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
7.20
自引率
4.90%
发文量
90
审稿时长
74 days
期刊介绍: The profession has witnessed over the past twenty years a remarkable expansion of research activities bearing on problems in the broader field of monetary economics. The strong interest in monetary analysis has been increasingly matched in recent years by the growing attention to the working and structure of financial institutions. The role of various institutional arrangements, the consequences of specific changes in banking structure and the welfare aspects of structural policies have attracted an increasing interest in the profession. There has also been a growing attention to the operation of credit markets and to various aspects in the behavior of rates of return on assets. The Journal of Monetary Economics provides a specialized forum for the publication of this research.
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