The impact of ride-hailing services on road traffic accidents in China: Focused on the moderating effect of ride-hailing regulatory policy.

IF 1.9 3区 工程技术 Q3 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH
Zhuolun Wang
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Objective: As ride-hailing services become more widespread, traffic safety has raised attention among the public. However, existing research has not fully revealed the impact of ride-hailing services on road traffic accidents in Chinese cities. Although ride-hailing regulatory policy sets industry entry thresholds, it remains to verify whether the policy can change the relationship between ride-hailing services and road traffic accidents. The aims of the study are to assess the impact of the entry of ride-hailing services on road traffic accidents, exploring the moderating effect of ride-hailing regulatory policy in this relationship.

Methods: Based on panel data from 79 Chinese cities between 2007 and 2017, this article uses a multi-period difference-in-differences model to analyze the impact of the entry of ride-hailing services on accident casualties. To explore ride-hailing regulatory policy validity, this article uses a moderating effect model to assess whether the regulatory policy influences the relationship between ride-hailing services and accident casualties.

Results: The entry of ride-hailing services has no significant impact on accident injuries but has increased accident fatalities. Although the implementation of ride-hailing regulatory policy has not significantly moderated the irrelevant relationship between ride-hailing services and accident injuries, it significantly alleviates the positive impact of ride-hailing services on accident fatalities. The varying policy intensities were ineffective in moderating the relationship between ride-hailing services and accident injuries. Under the positive effect of ride-hailing services on accident fatalities, loose policy strengthens this effect, medium-intensity policy has no significant moderating effect, while strict policy weakens the effect.

Conclusions: In China, ride-hailing services are closely linked to an increase in accident fatalities. By raising industry entry thresholds, the implementation of strict regulatory policy can improve road traffic safety. The findings provide management insights for the government in regulating the ride-hailing market.

网约车服务对中国道路交通事故的影响:重点研究网约车监管政策的调节作用。
目的:随着网约车服务的普及,交通安全引起了公众的关注。然而,现有的研究并没有完全揭示网约车服务对中国城市道路交通事故的影响。虽然网约车监管政策设定了行业准入门槛,但该政策能否改变网约车服务与道路交通事故之间的关系,还有待验证。本研究的目的是评估网约车服务的进入对道路交通事故的影响,探索网约车监管政策在这种关系中的调节作用。方法:基于2007 - 2017年中国79个城市的面板数据,采用多期差中差模型分析网约车进入对事故伤亡的影响。为了探究网约车监管政策的有效性,本文采用调节效应模型来评估监管政策是否影响网约车服务与事故伤亡之间的关系。结果:网约车服务的进入对事故伤害没有显著影响,但增加了事故死亡人数。虽然网约车监管政策的实施并未显著调节网约车服务与事故伤害之间的不相关关系,但显著缓解了网约车服务对事故死亡人数的正向影响。不同的政策强度在调节网约车服务与事故伤害之间的关系方面无效。在网约车对事故死亡人数的正向影响下,宽松的政策强化了这种效应,中等强度的政策没有显著的调节作用,而严格的政策削弱了这种效应。结论:在中国,叫车服务与事故死亡人数的增加密切相关。通过提高行业准入门槛,实施严格的监管政策,可以提高道路交通安全。这一发现为政府监管网约车市场提供了管理见解。
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来源期刊
Traffic Injury Prevention
Traffic Injury Prevention PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH-
CiteScore
3.60
自引率
10.00%
发文量
137
审稿时长
3 months
期刊介绍: The purpose of Traffic Injury Prevention is to bridge the disciplines of medicine, engineering, public health and traffic safety in order to foster the science of traffic injury prevention. The archival journal focuses on research, interventions and evaluations within the areas of traffic safety, crash causation, injury prevention and treatment. General topics within the journal''s scope are driver behavior, road infrastructure, emerging crash avoidance technologies, crash and injury epidemiology, alcohol and drugs, impact injury biomechanics, vehicle crashworthiness, occupant restraints, pedestrian safety, evaluation of interventions, economic consequences and emergency and clinical care with specific application to traffic injury prevention. The journal includes full length papers, review articles, case studies, brief technical notes and commentaries.
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