{"title":"Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on opioid toxicity mortality rates in Nova Scotia: An interrupted time series analysis (2009-2023).","authors":"Cindy Feng, Mark Asbridge, Amy Grant, Lihui Liu, Guanjie Lyu, Fahima Hassan","doi":"10.17269/s41997-025-01092-8","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objectives: </strong>To examine trends in opioid toxicity mortality in Nova Scotia and its health zones from 2009 to 2023, focusing on differences between pharmaceutical and non-pharmaceutical opioid-related deaths.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We conducted a population-based study using data on annual opioid toxicity mortality rates from 2009 to 2023, stratified by health zone and opioid type. An interrupted time series (ITS) analysis was applied to assess changes in mortality trends across three pandemic-related periods. Comparisons were made between pharmaceutical and non-pharmaceutical opioid mortality to assess evolving patterns of opioid-related harm.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Opioid toxicity mortality in Nova Scotia declined during the peri-pandemic period (2019-2021) but increased significantly post-pandemic, particularly in non-pharmaceutical opioid-related deaths, which steadily rose after 2021. Pharmaceutical opioid-related deaths remained higher than non-pharmaceutical deaths. Health zone analysis revealed geographic variation: the Central Zone experienced stable pharmaceutical mortality with rising non-pharmaceutical deaths post-pandemic; the Eastern Zone saw higher pharmaceutical mortality pre-pandemic, which declined during the peri-pandemic period, while non-pharmaceutical deaths remained low; the Northern Zone had stable pharmaceutical mortality but rising non-pharmaceutical deaths post-pandemic; and the Western Zone exhibited consistently lower mortality rates across both opioid types.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>This study reveals significant shifts in opioid-related mortality trends in Nova Scotia, with a rise in non-pharmaceutical opioid deaths post-pandemic, while pharmaceutical opioids remain a major contributor. Geographic variations across health zones highlight the need for region-specific public health strategies. Ongoing efforts to reduce both pharmaceutical and illicit opioid misuse through harm reduction and improved prescribing practices are crucial.</p>","PeriodicalId":51407,"journal":{"name":"Canadian Journal of Public Health-Revue Canadienne De Sante Publique","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6000,"publicationDate":"2025-08-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Canadian Journal of Public Health-Revue Canadienne De Sante Publique","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.17269/s41997-025-01092-8","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Objectives: To examine trends in opioid toxicity mortality in Nova Scotia and its health zones from 2009 to 2023, focusing on differences between pharmaceutical and non-pharmaceutical opioid-related deaths.
Methods: We conducted a population-based study using data on annual opioid toxicity mortality rates from 2009 to 2023, stratified by health zone and opioid type. An interrupted time series (ITS) analysis was applied to assess changes in mortality trends across three pandemic-related periods. Comparisons were made between pharmaceutical and non-pharmaceutical opioid mortality to assess evolving patterns of opioid-related harm.
Results: Opioid toxicity mortality in Nova Scotia declined during the peri-pandemic period (2019-2021) but increased significantly post-pandemic, particularly in non-pharmaceutical opioid-related deaths, which steadily rose after 2021. Pharmaceutical opioid-related deaths remained higher than non-pharmaceutical deaths. Health zone analysis revealed geographic variation: the Central Zone experienced stable pharmaceutical mortality with rising non-pharmaceutical deaths post-pandemic; the Eastern Zone saw higher pharmaceutical mortality pre-pandemic, which declined during the peri-pandemic period, while non-pharmaceutical deaths remained low; the Northern Zone had stable pharmaceutical mortality but rising non-pharmaceutical deaths post-pandemic; and the Western Zone exhibited consistently lower mortality rates across both opioid types.
Conclusion: This study reveals significant shifts in opioid-related mortality trends in Nova Scotia, with a rise in non-pharmaceutical opioid deaths post-pandemic, while pharmaceutical opioids remain a major contributor. Geographic variations across health zones highlight the need for region-specific public health strategies. Ongoing efforts to reduce both pharmaceutical and illicit opioid misuse through harm reduction and improved prescribing practices are crucial.
期刊介绍:
The Canadian Journal of Public Health is dedicated to fostering excellence in public health research, scholarship, policy and practice. The aim of the Journal is to advance public health research and practice in Canada and around the world, thus contributing to the improvement of the health of populations and the reduction of health inequalities.
CJPH publishes original research and scholarly articles submitted in either English or French that are relevant to population and public health.
CJPH is an independent, peer-reviewed journal owned by the Canadian Public Health Association and published by Springer.
Énoncé de mission
La Revue canadienne de santé publique se consacre à promouvoir l’excellence dans la recherche, les travaux d’érudition, les politiques et les pratiques de santé publique. Son but est de faire progresser la recherche et les pratiques de santé publique au Canada et dans le monde, contribuant ainsi à l’amélioration de la santé des populations et à la réduction des inégalités de santé.
La RCSP publie des articles savants et des travaux inédits, soumis en anglais ou en français, qui sont d’intérêt pour la santé publique et des populations.
La RCSP est une revue indépendante avec comité de lecture, propriété de l’Association canadienne de santé publique et publiée par Springer.